# Logan Phillips — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 37.5%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 25
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 4, 2024 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls

Phillips said the Selzer Iowa poll is most likely wrong and that he still expects Trump to carry Iowa, though he raised Harris's chances there from about 2% to roughly 20-25%. He also gave Republicans about a two-in-three chance of winning the Senate majority and put Bob Casey at 80% in Pennsylvania's Senate race, calling McCormick an underdog.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/19ff7fa1-6b99-4879-b55c-c28cd02b83be

### Oct 28, 2024 — scored 0 across 1 call

Phillips says Harris remains modestly favored to carry Nevada, though less so than in the past, and views Wisconsin as the blue-wall state most at risk for her.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3e5905a-7f46-4127-8db4-b40d59aeb533


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=logan-phillips