# Mark Kaboly — prediction record



## Is Mark Kaboly accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Mark Kaboly scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -11, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 50%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -11
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Oct 11, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Kaboly said Marvin Harrison Jr.'s trade out of Arizona would be made official within a day or two, and that the Steelers would not be his destination.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c5f6b8e-52aa-44c4-981e-b10dbb529b64

### Aug 12, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Kaboly states flatly that Mason Rudolph will not be released, cut, traded, or put on the practice squad — i.e., they stay on the Steelers' active roster.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/75b2f67c-57f2-488c-b98e-90f964a71a34


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mark-kaboly