# Mark Morales-Smith — prediction record ## Is Mark Morales-Smith accurate? Across 3 graded calls in 2 articles, Mark Morales-Smith scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 126.5, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 100% - **MissedTakes Score:** 126.5 - **Graded articles:** 2 - **Graded individual calls:** 3 - **Clarity:** 94.12% - **Hedged:** 47.06% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (2) ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Within a Week 9 fantasy sleeper column, they state that Jacksonville is almost certain to blow out Baltimore, with the Jaguars running the ball through the second half and fourth quarter. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d03c86f1-c1e9-4280-b6be-5f6fc9de7f6e ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls In a Week 2 start/sit column, Morales-Smith names four benched players he expects to outperform expectations: Jordan Love, Kaelon Black, Jakobi Meyers and Dalton Schultz. He also predicts Green Bay beats the Jets, San Francisco blows out Miami, and that Nico Collins won't play against Cincinnati. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3d31318-f325-4e14-aae7-ced9f9f3cfdf --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mark-morales-smith