# Marvin Prince — prediction record



## Is Marvin Prince accurate?

Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Marvin Prince scores 22.22% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -15.3, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 22.22%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -15.3
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 0% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Feb 7, 2025 — scored 22.22 across 3 calls

Picked the Chiefs to win 31-27 with Mahomes as MVP.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/06dd11ee-313a-4371-93ff-535de62f0dca


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=marvin-prince