# Mary Katharine Ham — prediction record



## Is Mary Katharine Ham accurate?

Across 5 graded calls in 1 article, Mary Katharine Ham scores 44.58% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -39.56, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 44.58%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -39.56
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 5
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 54.17% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Nov 3, 2022 — scored 49 across 5 calls

Ham predicted Republicans would gain three or more Senate seats and 24-25 House seats, that Herschel Walker would not lose Georgia's Senate race, that Brian Kemp would win the Georgia governorship, and that JD Vance would prevail in Ohio.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f7e2fe4c-157b-43c7-802f-ed8cea9225ec


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mary-katharine-ham