# Matt Continetti — prediction record



## Is Matt Continetti accurate?

Across 4 graded calls in 1 article, Matt Continetti scores 77.5% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 21.67, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 77.5%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 21.67
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Nov 8, 2022 — scored 66.25 across 4 calls

Continetti forecast a big Republican night: a House gain of 20 to 30 seats or more and three to four Senate pickups, with Ron DeSantis reelected in Florida.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c895a63-b14d-4946-9ead-fdf2d6e76521


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matt-continetti