# Matt Harmon — prediction record ## Is Matt Harmon accurate? Across 43 graded calls in 9 articles, Matt Harmon scores 77.81% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 47.41, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 77.81% - **MissedTakes Score:** 47.41 - **Graded articles:** 9 - **Graded individual calls:** 43 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 29.03% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (9) ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 5 calls Harmon picked the Packers, Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in Week 9, predicted Justin Jefferson would top 100 receiving yards with two touchdowns against Buffalo, and said Minnesota would lose and then trade for Jonathan Taylor. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6e687e7-59f9-430a-90a5-b3c0da4e3e20 ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 28.57 across 7 calls Harmon picked Seattle over Chicago, Detroit over Minnesota, Cleveland over Pittsburgh, Baltimore over Buffalo, Atlanta over Tampa Bay and Kansas City over Denver, and predicted the Lions would score 21 points against the Vikings. Their Hail Mary is that Commanders rookie receiver Antonio Williams goes for 100 yards against the Eagles. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5e5fc79d-eb11-4607-a06f-180e37fb41fd ### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls Harmon picked the Lions over the Packers, the Chiefs to win in Seattle, the Bengals at Baltimore, the 49ers over the Falcons and the Rams to beat the Raiders (while the Raiders cover). Their Hail Mary was that the Vikings quarterback scores four total touchdowns against the Colts, and they expected Josh Jacobs and Zach Charbonnet to play while Rashee Rice sits. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e84047aa-9ad5-4d07-8b2a-93581426ca2e ### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 100 across 5 calls Harmon picked Green Bay, Houston, Chicago, Baltimore, New England and Buffalo in Week 6, said the Chargers lose to the Chiefs and finish with about four wins, and offered a Hail Mary that Cam Ward throws for more than 270 yards. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2341c1a-18e6-40d7-892e-6f93ae0e4fa3 ### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 50 across 4 calls Harmon picked the Seahawks over the 49ers, the Vikings over the Saints, the Falcons over the Ravens and the Jaguars over the Eagles by double digits in Week 5, and said San Francisco's offense would stay a top-five unit the rest of the way if its stars stay healthy. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/398a77e1-597a-4603-a191-45bae005b679 ### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 80 across 5 calls Harmon picked the Chiefs, 49ers, Rams, Lions and Packers to win their Week 4 games, said Jacksonville would at least keep it close against Cincinnati, and predicted Parker Washington goes for 150-plus receiving yards against the Bengals. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2373b97-0d1c-488d-b15c-28bd9576ed79 ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 60 across 5 calls Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. They took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 ### Jun 5, 2025 — scored 84.05 across 5 calls In a snake-draft of the best NFL wide receivers for the 2025 season, Harmon's ten selections (at overall picks 1, 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25 and 28) headlined by Ja'Marr Chase at No. 1 and Nico Collins at No. 4. They also made several depth-chart calls, including Travis Hunter as Jacksonville's No. 2 receiver behind Brian Thomas Jr., and predicted Riley Leonard will make starts for the Colts. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/751749fe-cfd8-4054-a39a-d980158fddf3 ### Apr 16, 2025 — scored 80.74 across 3 calls Harmon ranks the 2025 wide receiver class with Travis Hunter alone in Tier 1, Tetairoa McMillan second, Emeka Egbuka third and Matthew Golden fourth, with Luther Burden and Jalen Noel as their next tier of late first/early second-round types and Jack Bech, Kyle Williams and Tre Harris squarely on Day 2 ahead of Jayden Higgins. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dec50bd-ab87-4aac-ba3c-d4e4e47f031b --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matt-harmon