# Matthew Coller — prediction record



## Is Matthew Coller accurate?

Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Matthew Coller scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 200, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 200
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 77.78% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Aug 25, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Coller argues J.J. McCarthy's development is far behind schedule and that they will likely end up needing a fresh start with another team rather than developing into the Vikings' answer at quarterback.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9ffe221e-9c07-4fd5-9e59-a767ffbc691c


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matthew-coller