# Matty Lane — prediction record ## Is Matty Lane accurate? Across 3 graded calls in 3 articles, Matty Lane scores 67.69% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 39.64, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 67.69% - **MissedTakes Score:** 39.64 - **Graded articles:** 3 - **Graded individual calls:** 3 - **Clarity:** 96.3% - **Hedged:** 25.93% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (3) ### Apr 24, 2026 — scored 67.71 across 1 call Before the pick was announced, Lane predicted the Chiefs' trade-up to No. 6 in the 2026 draft was for edge Ruben Bayne, with Jordan Tyson as the next likeliest target. After the selection, they said Mansour Delaine walks in as the Chiefs' CB1 and can do everything Trent McDuffie did. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f77cdf69-8b2a-4ef1-bc88-6cdf6626346e ### Apr 23, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Maddie Lane said Spencer Fano is clearly the first tackle off the board, that the top four players in their mock will be four of the first five picks, that Malik Mohammed goes ahead of Igbunosin, and that Blake Miller would beat out Jalen Moore for the Chiefs' starting job. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/61fb26a0-be21-4ad0-bc4f-de49db439f63 ### Feb 21, 2026 — scored 35.36 across 1 call Lane predicts Arkansas running back Mike Washington will run in the 4.4s at the combine and rise up boards toward the RB2 spot, and names Oscar Delp as their sleeper to boost their stock at the combine, plus expects Grayson Holton to climb into Day 2 with a good showing. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9e13536d-1ca4-4593-abf6-a292a0bf0a67 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matty-lane