# Megyn Kelly — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 85.75
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 11
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (5)

### Nov 4, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call

Kelly argued that Democrats are very likely to lose their Senate majority in this election, and said the presidential race is too close to call either way.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0ebea25f-dd6d-4b77-a636-78010f2c9233

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Kelly says the convergence of the MAHA movement, RFK Jr. and Nicole Shanahan's path into Trump's orbit makes her believe Trump will win the presidency. She also says Republicans will win the West Virginia Senate seat, bringing them to 50, with Montana as their next best pickup opportunity.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7ffc53c1-37d9-49a8-9879-6715c3aee52a

### Oct 31, 2024 — scored 100 across 4 calls

Kelly said Trump is clearly leaning toward victory in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, and that Nevada also appears to be leaning Republican based on early-vote data.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2eee3e90-e770-43d8-a861-2de5de69252b

### Oct 23, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Kelly said Republicans are set to pick up the West Virginia Senate seat and that Montana now looks locked up for the GOP as well.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4899c8da-dc3b-431b-8c63-8a9a07537e6e

### Oct 22, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Kelly likened Trump to the horse that pulls ahead in the final stretch and wins, saying it feels like he has moved into first position two weeks out. She also said Connecticut would clearly go to the Democrats in the presidential race.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/52216d85-1f86-4d77-a107-a4401379a25e


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=megyn-kelly
