# Michael Cohen — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 25
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 75 across 4 calls

Cohen's final call was a narrow Trump win with Republicans taking the Senate while Democrats narrowly win the House, a split he had earlier described as the most likely scenario.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c7694aa9-ad38-4ce4-bdcc-58ae1e9e98cf


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=michael-cohen