# Michael David Smith — prediction record

Michael David Smith covers the NFL for NBC Sports, writing on roster moves, trades and game outcomes across teams including the Eagles, Raiders, Jaguars and 49ers. The coverage extends to depth-chart decisions, player contracts, draft positioning and playoff races.

## Is Michael David Smith accurate?

Across 4 graded calls in 2 articles, Michael David Smith scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 128, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 128
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 54% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/52d7108f-f754-44e8-9bf3-cc3336b4e5f7

### Aug 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Smith writes that undrafted rookie receiver Camden Brown is playing their way onto Dallas's 53-man roster after a strong camp and a two-touchdown preseason debut, and that returner Kavontae Turpin will also make the roster.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d688eed-2b6c-48ce-9f30-338cf9359f38


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=michael-david-smith