# Mike Clay — prediction record



## Is Mike Clay accurate?

Across 9 graded calls in 9 articles, Mike Clay scores 22.22% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -22.78, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 22.22%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -22.78
- **Graded articles:** 9
- **Graded individual calls:** 9
- **Clarity:** 96.43%
- **Hedged:** 17.62% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (9)

### Nov 9, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Picks the Bills to win at Minnesota.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/094077d9-c860-497a-affb-325e06da37a5

### Nov 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Clay picks Seattle over Arizona in Week 9.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/36abd91e-a5ef-4205-994b-164290dc4195

### Nov 2, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Clay picks the Seahawks to beat the Bears in Week 8.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eff7405a-a72d-44f6-95cd-6f31c531314b

### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picked the Seahawks to beat the Bears in Week 8.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba5ccf32-551d-4333-896d-4218b0dbbf53

### Oct 24, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83045e7b-3b2f-4659-879e-99438dd0c522

### Oct 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picks the Colts to beat the Titans.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/23beb6fb-0b1c-4b33-8f2e-3303b69c531e

### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picks the Seahawks to beat the Broncos in Week 6.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99250b76-68d8-4b8e-91ba-eb0bf944bc43

### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picks the Seahawks to beat the 49ers in Week 5.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2b8a80e1-f777-47ca-8f0b-0012cec481d4

### Sep 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/00e9d8a9-f319-44ca-8465-3da9eaaa4bce


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mike-clay