# Mike Florio — prediction record Mike Florio created and runs Pro Football Talk, covering NFL player movement, contracts, depth charts and game outcomes. The work appears on ProFootballTalk, NBC Sports, CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated and podcasts including Around the NFL, Pardon My Take and The Rich Eisen Podcast. Florio has written on the Bears, Cowboys, Eagles, Vikings and other clubs, and predictions have addressed Caleb Williams, Shedeur Sanders and Patrick Mahomes. ## Is Mike Florio accurate? Across 40 graded calls in 17 articles, Mike Florio scores 64.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 45.89, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #15 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 64.67% - **MissedTakes Score:** 45.89 - **Graded articles:** 17 - **Graded individual calls:** 40 - **Clarity:** 98.82% - **Hedged:** 57.94% of claims - **Right when hedging:** 63.33% (15 graded) - **Right when committing:** 70.24% (25 graded) LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (17) ### Nov 3, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Florio expects Jake Moody to be promoted from Baltimore's practice squad to the 53-man roster if Tyler Loop lands on injured reserve. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/886a925c-c92f-46d9-a318-6203a5064de7 ### Oct 30, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Florio expects the Rams to beat the winless Chargers on Sunday for their fourth win, warning that a loss would leave them 3-5 and in danger of missing the playoffs. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/31f3b9c9-5c0f-41d8-908e-91ee69c8dcfb ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Picked the Seahawks to beat the Bears in Week 8. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ef7c9c2f-ded7-4075-b34e-9f373a1cc6a4 ### Oct 19, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Florio predicts that kicker Blake Grupe's leg injury, suffered trying to make a tackle on a kickoff return, will end their stint with the Rams and that Los Angeles will sign another kicker after Week 6. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/342762c8-089a-4d33-a27b-65ad558633c1 ### Oct 16, 2026 — scored 23.81 across 1 call Predicts a comfortable Colts home win, 27-10 over Tennessee. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/402e2f01-2e71-42db-9703-e36613a9d0b9 ### Oct 14, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call While discussing possible flex moves, Florio expects the Colts to beat the winless Titans at home this weekend to improve to 3-3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88109205-df71-4842-ab33-c66e24180e03 ### Oct 13, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls Florio argues the Rams' next three games — home against Arizona, at Las Vegas, and home against the Chargers — are all winnable and could lift the 2-3 Rams to 5-3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca2823cb-6b09-439d-93d2-9549f693232c ### Oct 11, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Florio expects Marvin Harrison Jr. to be traded away from Arizona, saying it's hard to imagine them remaining a Cardinal and that it's now just a question of what return Arizona gets. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/89db637c-6f28-4126-baad-1a748164381e ### Oct 11, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Florio expects Marvin Harrison Jr. to be dealt, saying the only surprising outcome at this point would be if no trade happened, though they stop short of committing to a destination themselves. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4bbc6809-81fc-4387-954d-acb9c174dd17 ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls Florio says the Lions' next three games — vs. the Jets, at the Panthers, at the Cardinals — are winnable, and that if all goes well Detroit will be 4-1 heading into its bye. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaa728e4-6193-423a-b0fa-7450c7415534 ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call In a video blurb previewing Colts vs. Chiefs, Florio is described as picking Kansas City to win, crediting Patrick Mahomes and Kenneth Walker for pushing the team to victory. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb29858b-b39b-4a5d-a741-277bea26c901 ### Sep 9, 2026 — scored 61.46 across 16 calls Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a ### Aug 18, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Florio reads Todd Monken's practice and preseason plans as a hint that Deshaun Watson has already been chosen as Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback over Shedeur Sanders. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/79e617bb-3336-4675-8e3d-5c95a7874baa ### Apr 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Florio wants no part of George Kittle even inside the top 10 tight ends, lays out a tight end order with McBride and Bowers first and LaPorta pushed to five, is off Patrick Mahomes as a fantasy quarterback while still expecting them to start Week 1, and thinks Ty Simpson is now a first-round pick who would take over in Arizona by October. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c02f9a59-7ebe-4d97-858c-1b80a13a1297 ### Mar 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Florio made 12 picks in the three-round, 12-team fantasy mock draft (Bijan Robinson, JSN, CeeDee Lamb, Jonathan Taylor, Nabers, London, AJ Brown, Jeremiah Love, Chase Brown, McConkey, Rashee Rice, Higgins), and separately predicted Jalen Waddle settles as a top-20 receiver, that AJ Brown could finish top five, that Marquise Brown fills the Eagles' WR3 role, that Chase Brown is underrated, that Ladd McConkey breaks out, and that Jeremiah Love goes in the top 10 of the actual NFL draft. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dab4e952-f15c-4543-a171-a0236c4d2961 ### Aug 21, 2025 — scored 82.5 across 4 calls Florio drafted CeeDee Lamb, Malik Nabers, A.J. Brown, De'Von Achane, Trey McBride and TreVeyon Henderson, calling Achane their RB4, McBride their TE1 for the season, and Henderson an RB1 this year. They also said Jackson Dart eventually takes over as the Giants' starter. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c752df7-7972-4a6d-8b75-7941f81164c0 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mike-florio