# Nate Tice — prediction record Nate Tice hosts Football 301 with Nate Tice and appears on Around the NFL and Move the Sticks, covering the NFL through game previews, win-total projections and mock drafts. The predictions cover the Chiefs, Ravens, Bears, Texans and several other clubs, and draft coverage has featured prospects Cam Ward and Abdul Carter. ## Is Nate Tice accurate? Across 71 graded calls in 12 articles, Nate Tice scores 69.01% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 38.36, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #17 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 69.01% - **MissedTakes Score:** 38.36 - **Graded articles:** 12 - **Graded individual calls:** 71 - **Clarity:** 97.5% - **Hedged:** 23.17% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (12) ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 80 across 5 calls Tice picked the Patriots to beat the Packers and also took the Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in their Week 9 matchups. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/05308b68-1723-49d2-aaa3-f9b5d958cd73 ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 57.14 across 7 calls Tice picked the Seahawks over the Bears on Monday night, the Lions over the Vikings, the Steelers over the Browns, the Ravens over the Bills, the Buccaneers over the Falcons and the Chiefs over the Broncos. They also have the Bears as their top team in the NFC North, says the Vikings can still win the division, calls the Patriots for 40-plus points against Miami, and caps the Vikings' offensive ceiling at 22nd in the league. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8d5d91c8-a2b7-40a9-9110-bc60312165be ### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 40 across 5 calls Tice picked the Packers to beat the Lions in Detroit, the Chiefs to win at Seattle, the Bengals to win at Baltimore with Lamar Jackson's status uncertain, the Texans over the Giants, and the 49ers over the Falcons. Their Hail Mary was that the Vikings beat the Colts and hold Indianapolis to single-digit points. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4cfe327f-cb11-4746-98fc-0b60c43f676e ### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls Tice picked the Packers, Texans, Bears, Ravens and Bills in Week 6 games, expected Caleb Williams and Michael Penix to be back on the field, and said they now have the Patriots winning the AFC East. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0c2a58-d4b0-40ea-b1f3-2c9889bfc2ae ### Oct 10, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Tice picked the Seahawks to beat the 49ers in Seattle in Week 5, citing Seattle's discipline, and said Seattle's defense is at worst the second-best in the league. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8dd9735c-f718-4d9a-9693-d5fe6fa2547b ### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 57.14 across 7 calls Tice picked the Seahawks, Patriots, Rams, Vikings, Falcons and Jaguars in Week 5, and their hail Mary was the Texans beating the Titans by 17 or more points. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3e67d365-fcc2-4405-b7ce-ce1dadae7cd2 ### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 6 calls Tice picked the Jaguars over the Bengals, the Chiefs over the Raiders, the 49ers over the Broncos, the Rams over the Eagles, the Lions over the Panthers, and the Packers over the Buccaneers. They also predicted 70 or more combined points in Lions-Panthers and said Caleb Johnson will be Green Bay's lead back. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/699c6337-b1ec-42c2-9845-c28c3b77b463 ### Sep 24, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 6 calls Tice matched their guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 67.69 across 7 calls Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and their Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. They also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de ### Jun 26, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls Tice is bullish on Drake Maye's long-term All-Pro potential, likes the fit for Caleb Williams in Chicago and sees a path for Aaron Rodgers in Pittsburgh; they predict Joe Flacco wins the Browns' starting job and that Jaxson Dart takes over for the Giants by Thanksgiving. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47357903-91fd-477e-a732-3cf2a48f53da ### Apr 8, 2025 — scored 77.57 across 17 calls In a first-round mock draft on NFL Daily, Tice made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and running through Josh Simmons to the Chiefs at 31. They also pegged Grey Zabel as a back-half-of-round-one talent. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d7695f15-66ed-4f57-95f7-e92b2cde8c06 ### Feb 28, 2025 — scored 75 across 4 calls Tice gave draft projections for the tight end, receiver, offensive line and running back classes: Colston Loveland in the 18-24 range, Tyler Warren around top 15, Will Campbell as their top offensive lineman, Luther Burden as a late first/early second, Xavier Restrepo as a third-rounder, Emeka Egbuka as an NFL No. 2 receiver, and Devin Neal as a Round 2 back. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8822d23e-3ab2-4e9f-b8d4-33fc1802672c --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nate-tice