# Nathan Gonzales — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 97.22%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 55.25
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 10
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 87.5 across 8 calls

Gonzales said Republicans are favored to win the Senate majority, with Inside Elections' likely projection a GOP net gain of two to four seats, and moved Texas to tilt Republican while keeping Pennsylvania and Wisconsin tilt Democratic. He also laid out the House projection range and the firm's Iowa and Virginia ratings.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/948fc91a-5690-4ab6-9a67-69f6b0c6381a

### Oct 25, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Gonzales rated Virginia's 2nd District as tilt Republican, put the overall House outcome in a range from a nine-seat Democratic gain to a six-seat Republican gain, and said a Republican-controlled Senate is the most certain of 2024's outcomes, with the presidency and House much closer.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8efd86d9-fec9-49e2-9a51-f1f567a7899b


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nathan-gonzales