# Nathan Jahnke — prediction record Nathan Jahnke is the Lead Fantasy Football Analyst at Pro Football Focus, where he's spent more than 15 years in various leadership roles, including Director of Player Participation and Director of Analytics. His background spans fantasy football analysis, football research, software development, and analytics. At PFF, Jahnke covers the full spectrum of fantasy content — weekly rankings, waiver wire recommendations, usage reports, and game recaps with immediate fantasy takeaways. His predictions range across depth chart projections, roster spots, draft positioning, and player finishes, covering teams from the Chargers to the Jets and players like Tucker Kraft, Kenneth Walker III, and DeVonta Smith. ## Is Nathan Jahnke accurate? Across 69 graded calls in 13 articles, Nathan Jahnke scores 69.01% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -4.33, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #72 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 69.01% - **MissedTakes Score:** -4.33 - **Graded articles:** 13 - **Graded individual calls:** 69 - **Clarity:** 98.52% - **Hedged:** 61.05% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (13) ### Nov 6, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call In a Week 9 recap, Jahnke expects Mark Andrews to remain Baltimore's lead tight end but says rookie Matt Hibner is more likely than Josh Cuevas to eventually overtake them, and they anticipate the Ravens acquiring Jacoby Brissett to start at quarterback. They also suggest Brian Thomas Jr. may have played their final game for Jacksonville ahead of the trade deadline. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15c4c161-616c-4ed8-be6d-ad326cc50853 ### Oct 11, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Reviewing the Eagles-Jaguars game, Jahnke expects Zach Ertz to stay on Philadelphia's practice squad rather than be signed to the 53-man roster, given their lack of a defined offensive role or special teams value. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/881c41ad-11de-42ad-9eb1-c0842c4ed284 ### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Jahnke argues Bucky Irving's expanded role, including goal-line work, makes them a must-start rest of season, while Sean Tucker will still vulture a few scores. They also say Ted Hurst III won't hold fantasy value in their reduced rotational role, and that released Cowboys back Emari Demercado will likely land on the practice squad. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e51a28fb-a722-45c1-9793-9ea621952359 ### Aug 30, 2026 — scored 100 across 3 calls PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8f52d1f8-91ed-459c-99a7-30c2d3fb38e0 ### Aug 30, 2026 — scored 80 across 25 calls An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 ### Aug 29, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call PFF's preseason fantasy recap projects Colts roles: Keenan Allen as the starting Z receiver with Josh Downs in the slot, Laquon Treadwell as the backup X, and seventh-round rookie Seth McGowan as the favorite to be Jonathan Taylor's backup ahead of DJ Giddens. On the Lions, Tom Kennedy appears to have locked up a roster spot with Greg Dortch next most likely. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/33c062c4-069c-4f3e-a9c9-bcdaa9048149 ### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 73.33 across 15 calls PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e ### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 6 calls An unsigned PFF fantasy preseason recap makes a series of depth-chart and roster-spot calls: Roman Wilson wins the Steelers' third receiver job over Germie Bernard, Robert Tonyan makes Pittsburgh's roster as the third tight end, Kyle Williams and Efton Chism III stick in New England, Mike Washington Jr. is the Raiders' primary backup back, Jalen Nailor stays a Raiders starter, Kaelon Black leads the 49ers' backup running back competition, and Charlie Kolar is the Chargers' top tight end with top-12 fantasy upside. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e9e8a675-165c-4246-a19c-eec9f5dfccf4 ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 77.78 across 9 calls PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/760054fd-7815-4b86-a9e3-bc9bdb0a730b ### Aug 22, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls PFF's fantasy football preseason recap projects depth-chart outcomes, roster spots and fantasy value for numerous players across several preseason games, including Chig Okonkwo's expanded role in Washington, Ja'Kobi Lane as Baltimore's WR3, Malachi Fields winning the Giants' starting X job, and Zachariah Branch being a fantasy bust relative to their late-round cost. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/22a4578b-eb92-41d2-820b-1a7eaa2e4e2f ### Aug 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call An unsigned PFF preseason snap-count review that draws depth-chart, roster-spot and fantasy conclusions from the first week of preseason games — naming starters and backups across nearly every team, flagging sleepers such as Keaton Mitchell, Tyjae Spears, Jahan Dotson and Greg Dulcich, and fading players like Mike Gesicki, Pat Freiermuth, Gunnar Helm and Cam Skattebo. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/45c8bf54-1a8e-45dd-909f-6e4c60f09f95 ### Aug 7, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls PFF's preseason recap projects Xavier Legette as the clear No. 3 receiver in Carolina after Chris Brazzell II's season-ending injury, doubts Jimmy Horn Jr. makes the 53-man roster, expects Ja'Tavion Sanders' role to shrink (with Mitchell Evans ahead of them), and sees Bam Knight as a candidate for Arizona's RB3 job. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04a27c8a-6177-4389-9287-2279e87a6c4a ### Jul 31, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call A PFF fantasy piece names Ashton Jeanty, Kenneth Walker III and Omarion Hampton as high-upside running backs outside the elite tier who could finish as fantasy's overall RB1 in 2026, while flagging Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson as the favorites for that finish. It also tempers Jeanty's outlook due to expected goal-line competition and gives Walker top-five upside in Kansas City. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fb305f04-89ff-476b-a6b2-52ba3616bf44 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nathan-jahnke