# Nick Faria — prediction record

Nick Faria covers the New York Jets for Sports Illustrated, writing about roster decisions, depth charts, and weekly game prep. His work spans the full arc of the NFL calendar—from grading position groups after 53-man roster cuts to breaking down inactive lists and answering fan mailbags as the season unfolds.

## Is Nick Faria accurate?

Across 5 graded calls in 4 articles, Nick Faria scores 75% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 100, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 100
- **Graded articles:** 4
- **Graded individual calls:** 5
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 62.04% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (4)

### Oct 12, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls

Faria says rookie edge rusher David Bailey, now at five sacks, is on track to win Defensive Rookie of the Year, and that Garrett Wilson is headed for a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, 10-touchdown season. They also map out a path where the Jets beat the Dolphins and Raiders to reach 4-4 at midseason.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c4e72d5f-f66e-4d06-b76d-c19f0e17a6d8

### Aug 31, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Faria lays out the Jets' post-cuts 53-man roster with a projected depth chart at every position, naming Geno Smith the starting QB with Cade Klubnik behind him, Breece Hall atop the backfield, Garrett Wilson leading the receivers, Mason Taylor as the top tight end, and Thomas/Stephens/Brownlee as the starting cornerbacks. He also expects Braiden McGregor could be gone within 48 hours via the waiver wire and Nate Lynn to land on the practice squad.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/91e72b2d-ea9e-4e72-8f91-02f7747460ed

### Aug 25, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Faria says the Jets' rotational defensive linemen should be very good this year, and casts doubt on undrafted edge Nate Lynn making the 53-man roster despite a strong camp.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/487d9da3-b77a-4b3a-b438-c9542c8119f7

### Aug 10, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Faria projects the Jets' depth chart entering the third week of training camp, naming starters, backups and bubble players across every position group, plus roster-spot calls on Jelani Woods, Xavier Newman, VJ Payne, Tre Brown and Samuel Womack III.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e070750-0467-41ae-ba74-571f3e4fa56d


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-faria
