# Nick Shook — prediction record

Nick Shook covers the NFL for Around the NFL, Good Morning Football, Move the Sticks and Sports Illustrated, offering predictions on power rankings, draft positioning and game outcomes. Shook writes on teams including the Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Minnesota Vikings and Las Vegas Raiders, and draft prospects such as Will Campbell and Jeremiyah Love.

## Is Nick Shook accurate?

Across 73 graded calls in 17 articles, Nick Shook scores 59.78% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 4.21, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #67 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 59.78%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 4.21
- **Graded articles:** 17
- **Graded individual calls:** 73
- **Clarity:** 98.21%
- **Hedged:** 26.74% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** 47.84% (13 graded)
- **Right when committing:** 67.18% (60 graded)

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (17)

### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picked the Seahawks to beat the Bears in Week 8.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7f7c846f-5355-411c-a122-f18daf9736b0

### Oct 7, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls

Shook laid out their full 1-32 NFL power rankings for the week, keeping the 49ers at No. 1 and the Chiefs at No. 2, dropping the Bills four spots to seventh and the undefeated Vikings two spots to 11th, while jumping the Patriots 13 spots to 18th and leaving the Titans last. They also expected the Falcons to beat the Ravens in their prime-time matchup and another lopsided result when the Bears face the Packers.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/618c0bf8-9445-4cdc-a3cf-024fac1a86f9

### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 0 across 4 calls

Shook said they would take the Steelers and Jaguars to win outright on the road, still expects the Chargers to beat the Raiders, and thinks Baltimore's run game will turn the Saints game into a double-digit Ravens win.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b377b42a-7d78-4210-af2a-f8d1088561b2

### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 48.22 across 4 calls

Shook makes three ATS picks — Steelers -3.5 over Atlanta, Jaguars -8.5 over Cleveland, Cowboys -2.5 at the Giants — plus a fourth stashed pick on Houston. He gives score predictions of Jaguars 30-9 and Cowboys by 15, and says the Steelers win by 7-10.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ae15f1d0-9ea1-4b85-a08f-3cdf228630b7

### Aug 13, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Shook unveiled their first NFL power rankings of the year, putting the Rams first, the Broncos second and the defending champion Seahawks only third, with the Dolphins last.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ea18c6ec-7662-4e66-91ed-4d0ef9d7d97d

### Apr 9, 2026 — scored 70.91 across 34 calls

Shook walks through their full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb

### Mar 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Reviewing the combine, Shook said Makhai Lemons will be the first of the two USC receivers drafted (ahead of Jacoby Lane), called Notre Dame's Jeremiah Love a possible top-three pick, called Mendoza a lock for No. 1 overall, pegged Parker Brailsford as a late Day 2 pick, and expects Minkah Fitzpatrick to be traded soon.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98e4eb41-a80b-473c-afde-e8165a00fe7e

### Feb 27, 2026 — scored 83.85 across 2 calls

Shook argues Cash Is Hal's short arms and 4.59 forty may have knocked them out of the first round entirely, defends Ruben Bain as a future stud despite short arms, calls Bailey a justified top-five pick, and doubts the Raiders will get two firsts plus a player for Maxx Crosby.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9858cde3-fe9d-4735-b9c7-101bfa58f199

### Dec 12, 2025 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls

Shook picks the Rams to win the Super Bowl and to beat the Lions, agrees the Buccaneers still hold the edge in the NFC South, and drops Patrick Mahomes to 12th in their QB Index behind Brock Purdy.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd498dba-6f44-461d-9beb-f748424098a3

### Nov 7, 2025 — scored 53.57 across 1 call

Gave their own individual power rankings within the joint exercise, placing the Chiefs first, Seahawks second, Eagles third, Bills sixth, Patriots tenth, Ravens eleventh and Bears nineteenth.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e61bed52-1a2a-44fd-826f-04dd2bca259c

### Oct 28, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call

Shook names Breece Hall, Jakobi Meyers and David Njoku as trade candidates, suggesting Hall could land with the Chargers and that the Raiders will move Meyers as sellers.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ef6a34cf-2058-4df8-b11a-0ac4a67b074e

### Jul 21, 2025 — scored 90 across 5 calls

Shook lays out the Giants' quarterback pecking order with Russell Wilson starting, Jameis Winston as the veteran backup and Jackson Dart third, predicts Abdul Carter beats out Kayvon Thibodeaux for the Giants' starting edge job, and assumes Tyler Shough wins the Saints' quarterback job.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/63e2223f-dafe-4940-bb40-fc3b4b8e6aee

### Jun 23, 2025 — scored 61.8 across 3 calls

In a 20-pick draft of the best running backs for 2025, Nick Shook used their ten selections (overall picks 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19) on Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Josh Jacobs, Christian McCaffrey, James Cook, Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, De'Von Achane and David Montgomery. They also predicted Derrick Henry would top 1,000 rushing yards again as Baltimore's bell cow.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0fc417a5-c0bd-4837-b354-88c52b037798

### May 13, 2025 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls

Shook's picks in the best-position-group draft: Buccaneers receivers (over the Bengals), Lions tackles, Ravens tight ends, Steelers interior offensive line, Lions running backs, Giants edge rushers, Ravens safeties, Commanders quarterbacks, Lions defensive tackles and Texans safeties. They also called Jordan Addison one of the league's best No. 2 receivers.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eefce1fd-b4db-4466-b850-79c0f88969a9

### Apr 9, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Shook picked LSU tackle Will Campbell as the offensive lineman from this class most likely to become an All-Pro, but specifically at guard rather than tackle. They also called Missouri's Armand Membu one of the first two tackles off the board, tabbed Oregon State's Joshua Gray as a hidden gem who won't be a first-round pick, and argued Minnesota will win at least nine games.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/26230cf8-701b-4c82-9720-7f34ebb0c09d

### Mar 3, 2025 — scored 84.18 across 5 calls

Nick Shook offered draft projections from the combine: Bhayshul Tuten will go earlier than expected, Nick Emmanwori is a first-round pick and the first safety drafted, Maxwell Hairston will be the first cornerback off the board, and Malaki Starks may have snuck into the first round. They also predicted Will Campbell profiles as a top-five guard in the NFL despite their short arms.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbbcc4b3-dce9-4d2e-9e5e-ee639860f45e

### Feb 28, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Shook, watching the defensive line workouts in Indianapolis, projected Ohio State's Tyleik Williams as a late first-round to Day 2 pick and Indiana's CJ West as an early Round 2-3 selection who could slide later.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9278b255-cc59-4779-a2cd-15031bd8a4fc


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