# Noah Compton — prediction record ## Is Noah Compton accurate? Across 6 graded calls in 4 articles, Noah Compton scores 66.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 64.08, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 66.67% - **MissedTakes Score:** 64.08 - **Graded articles:** 4 - **Graded individual calls:** 6 - **Clarity:** 94.44% - **Hedged:** 51.39% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (4) ### Nov 7, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97a66c60-b5a2-4503-a0c2-aa0181552557 ### Oct 25, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Compton argues the Colts' season is finished and a full rebuild/fire sale is coming, and they expect veteran guard Quenton Nelson — whose contract is expiring — to leave Indianapolis for a fresh start rather than re-sign. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/524c6e5f-66c4-4082-b6dc-c44a819f088f ### Aug 29, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls After the Colts' preseason finale loss to Detroit, Compton projected several roster and depth-chart outcomes: Daniel Jones as the starting quarterback, rookie A.J. Haulcy as the starting strong safety, Seth McGowan as the backup running back, and rookie defensive ends George Gumbs Jr. and Caden Curry making the initial 53-man roster, while receiver Deion Burks appears likely to be cut. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa7eba23-4322-47d7-b21e-7adb82e6b325 ### Aug 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call After watching the Colts' eleventh training camp practice, Compton says rookie linebacker CJ Allen is still expected to start the regular-season opener, identifies Alec Pierce as the team's top receiver and Cam Taylor-Britt as the first cornerback behind the starting trio, and declares the kicking job Blake Grupe's to lose. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98a8bd92-bcd8-4b5a-aad7-96ecd936662b --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=noah-compton