# Parker Hurley — prediction record Parker Hurley covers the San Francisco 49ers for Sports Illustrated, writing on roster decisions, trade targets and depth-chart battles. The work frequently turns to players such as Deebo Samuel Sr., Nick Bosa and Dre Greenlaw, with recurring attention to the Falcons as division opponents. ## Is Parker Hurley accurate? Across 11 graded calls in 6 articles, Parker Hurley scores 38.89% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -19.86, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 38.89% - **MissedTakes Score:** -19.86 - **Graded articles:** 6 - **Graded individual calls:** 11 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 67.9% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (6) ### Nov 12, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 ### Nov 6, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and they expect 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e8279a5-fad4-4c61-9646-0809bdcdaf40 ### Oct 14, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Hurley ranks seven 49ers who could be dealt before the trade deadline, with Mac Jones the most likely to move, followed by safeties Malik Mustapha and Ji'Ayir Brown, then Dre Greenlaw and Keion White as possibilities, and Tatum Bethune and Jack Jones as depth trade candidates. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b3337d9e-4c3a-41ca-b2ec-1f67bdba9aaa ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls Hurley projects the San Francisco 49ers' 17-man practice squad, naming specific players at each position they expect to land on it (with a few either/or spots). https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67e61dba-ee2d-4c4b-ae3b-f0e9a744cd6c ### Aug 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Reviewing 49ers rookies after the first preseason game, Hurley says linebacker Jaden Dugger has secured a spot on the roster after starting at MIKE. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/633eccb2-2e55-4252-832c-74f8ad98cbdb ### Aug 15, 2026 — scored 100 across 3 calls Hurley says Nick Bosa, Mykel Williams and Romello Height are certain to make the 49ers' roster, while the fourth edge spot remains unsettled. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/51ad1f3e-8222-402d-93d4-3151b828f3ee --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=parker-hurley