# Pat Fitzmaurice — prediction record Pat Fitzmaurice is managing editor at FantasyPros and BettingPros, where he writes about fantasy football rankings, draft strategy, and player evaluations. A Milwaukee native and Green Bay Packers fan, he's previously written and edited for Pro Football Weekly, Tribune Media Services, 4for4, and The Football Girl. His work here spans the full fantasy spectrum — sleepers and busts, waiver wire advice, start/sit calls, and season-long projections — covering players across the league from Brock Bowers to Trevor Lawrence to Kyle Pitts. ## Is Pat Fitzmaurice accurate? Across 129 graded calls in 28 articles, Pat Fitzmaurice scores 67.53% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 54.16, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #8 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 67.53% - **MissedTakes Score:** 54.16 - **Graded articles:** 28 - **Graded individual calls:** 129 - **Clarity:** 97.99% - **Hedged:** 37.61% of claims - **Right when hedging:** 73.62% (29 graded) - **Right when committing:** 62.92% (100 graded) LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (28) ### Nov 7, 2026 — scored 14.29 across 1 call Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd ### Oct 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call They predicted the Raiders would lose their third straight game to Buffalo in Week 6 and then turn to Fernando Mendoza as starting quarterback the following week, and said Rashee Rice will not play for the Chiefs this week. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/68dfe3ea-8c3a-4daf-b49b-ccb84706f942 ### Oct 12, 2026 — scored 91.67 across 1 call Fitzmaurice expects Woody Marks to have the Texans backfield to themselves and handle the vast majority of carries while David Montgomery is out, likes Jaleel McLaughlin's chance to lead the Browns backfield given the injuries there, sees Kendrick Bourne as Arizona's clear No. 2 receiver after the Marvin Harrison Jr. trade, and thinks Jordan Tyson is more likely to return in Week 9 than Week 7. They also call the Chiefs far and away the best streaming defense. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/85a2f7fe-7f2a-456a-9a83-a75fb7f7f2f4 ### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f ### Oct 2, 2026 — scored 45.24 across 2 calls Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e77c5e9-11e7-4be0-a350-19fa7d3b1165 ### Sep 26, 2026 — scored 35.71 across 1 call Fitzmaurice gave rest-of-season positional rankings for several Chiefs and other skill players, including Mahomes as their QB10, Kenneth Walker as RB4 behind Gibbs, Bijan and McCaffrey, Kelce at TE8 and Worthy down at WR50, and they picked Tampa Bay to beat Minnesota 21-20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/31b15133-9938-492f-a5a8-48d1dd02b911 ### Sep 21, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call In their Week 3 waiver column, Fitzmaurice makes several depth-chart calls around injuries: Jonah Coleman leading Denver's backfield, Marcus Mariota taking over in Washington, Michael Penix Jr. starting once healthy, and Malik Washington serving as Miami's top receiver, plus availability expectations for Detroit's injured safeties. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2cbd48f6-15ea-4aa5-84bc-bcc50d94d09a ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/31adc8bb-8f15-453f-bbcf-cab44e29b8b3 ### Sep 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d ### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls them one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; they also view Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d ### Aug 21, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/18bf77c0-c921-4593-997e-8405355274e9 ### Aug 6, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice names Kyler Murray a fantasy sleeper/value pick for 2026, expecting them to start for the Vikings in Week 1 and outperform their draft cost. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5ff8597-87d4-4628-a5fa-d0ccc75cf7ab ### Apr 19, 2026 — scored 75.2 across 10 calls Fitzmorris made 10 first-round mock picks, starting with Arvel Reese to the Cardinals at No. 3 and including Caleb Downs to Dallas at 12 and Dillon Thieneman to Pittsburgh at 21. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aba43566-0bad-4fb7-8ea2-04864c9c06e7 ### Mar 8, 2026 — scored 81.04 across 10 calls Fitzmorris made picks 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28 and 31 in the 2026 mock, ranked the top three receiver prospects Tate-Lemon-Tyson, said Caleb Downs won't fall to Day 2, and predicted Trey Hendrickson won't be back in Cincinnati. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3d0242f-bda2-45fd-82b3-7782bd29c69f ### Feb 20, 2026 — scored 69.46 across 13 calls Fitzmaurice made the even-numbered picks in the mock, sending Ruben Bain to the Jets at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at 5, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at 8, Spencer Fano to Miami at 11, Peter Woods to Baltimore at 14, Kadyn Proctor to Detroit at 17, TJ Parker to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Denzel Boston to Buffalo at 26, Monroe Freeling to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32. They also predicted Sadiq runs about a 4.5 at the combine and that Johnson really goes in the second round. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2774200b-0a9f-4504-a398-49540ecb8c59 ### Feb 8, 2026 — scored 68.59 across 10 calls Making a third of the mock's picks, they gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 ### Oct 30, 2025 — scored 87.5 across 2 calls Fitzmorris gave their Week 9 wide receiver rankings, going higher than consensus on Rashee Rice, Michael Pittman, Tee Higgins, Wan'Dale Robinson and Jameson Williams while ranking both Jaguars receivers below consensus. They also said Travis Hunter overtaking Brian Thomas as Jacksonville's No. 1 receiver is fiction and ranked with the expectation Kyler Murray plays. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fd61fc99-0f13-41bc-b8fd-6856410ec5ea ### Oct 1, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmorris gave their own Week 5 wide receiver rankings, keeping Ja'Marr Chase as a low-end WR1 at No. 9, slotting the Chargers trio as Quentin Johnston 20/Ladd McConkey 22/Keenan Allen 23, and naming Malik Washington as their deeper play with Tyreek Hill out. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/368f26b5-c8f2-4a19-80a5-8f4208c53dc3 ### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 76.11 across 3 calls Fitzmaurice gave their own Week 3 running back rankings, notably placing Jordan Mason as an RB1 at No. 7, keeping Genty on consensus, and fading James Conner and Trevion Henderson; they also said Cam Skattaboo has taken over the Giants backfield with Tyrone Tracy as the No. 2. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5071a504-60d5-4bf7-a198-2617406c611d ### Sep 13, 2025 — scored 58.33 across 6 calls Fitzmaurice expects Detroit to blow out Chicago, has aggressively moved Breece Hall and Travis Etienne up their rest-of-season running back ranks (both RB14, with Omarion Hampton at RB13), sees Emeka Egbuka as a rest-of-season WR27, and believes Kenneth Walker will reclaim the lead role in Seattle's backfield. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f22fbe-fcb9-4324-b6d7-d1e815e3e25a ### Sep 11, 2025 — scored 41.43 across 2 calls Fitzmaurice gave their own Week 2 wide receiver rankings, placing AJ Brown as a bounce-back WR9, Garrett Wilson at 12, Jameson Williams at 24, DK Metcalf down at 25, Calvin Ridley at 30 and Ricky Pearsall at 31. They also argued Chris Olave will be a playable WR3 all season. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fbfb358-5b60-4857-8031-4405c2d1d316 ### Aug 30, 2025 — scored 69.23 across 13 calls Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 ### Jul 26, 2025 — scored 66.66 across 4 calls Fitzmorris calls rookie Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan a major value relative to their ECR (WR28, 59 overall), ranking them WR21, and touts Drake May as a top-10 fantasy QB well ahead of their QB16 ECR. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4bf2eac4-6c92-494c-acef-93337e939b73 ### Jul 17, 2025 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Fitzmorris names Bears RB Roschon Johnson a deep sleeper, arguing the rebuilt interior offensive line and Ben Johnson's scheme could make them a David Montgomery-style goal-line back. They also like Browns rookie Dylan Sampson as a late-round talent bet and Panthers WR Jalen Coker as a late-round flyer, and would rather have Tyler Warren than Hunter Henry. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b0973377-92f1-4f9c-90f4-6c8134a092c8 ### Jul 5, 2025 — scored 44.1 across 12 calls Fitzmaurice ranks Darren Waller around TE40, touts T.J. Higgins as a low-end WR1 value, Kenneth Walker as a top-12 back if healthy, Stefon Diggs in the ninth round, Drake Maye as a QB1 finisher with big rushing upside, Luther Burden as an ADP-beater, and Javonte Williams as Dallas's lead back. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bed875af-db54-4ebc-b3da-9102b06adea7 ### Jun 22, 2025 — scored 91.67 across 4 calls Fitz calls Christian McCaffrey the ultimate boom candidate, ranking them RB5 and drafting them around the 1-2 turn; they also like Isaiah Pacheco as a small boom, believing Pacheco is still the Chiefs' best back and a bargain in the seventh or eighth round, while fading Breece Hall because of Aaron Glenn's committee talk and Justin Fields' effect on receiving work. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a9665527-8302-4059-b8e7-8964afe7a628 ### Jun 14, 2025 — scored 65.99 across 7 calls Fitzmorris ranks Chase Brown RB11 and expects them to remain Cincinnati's lead back, is far higher than the projections on Drake May (QB9, 700 rushing yards), and views Bucky Irving as an undervalued second-round pick who keeps the Tampa Bay lead job over Rachaad White. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af9cf482-4575-4afb-a83c-8fcf9205d7ce ### May 17, 2025 — scored 33.13 across 15 calls Fitzmorris gave their personal ranks, pushing Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers (whom they call a clear tier above all tight ends), Drake London, Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Chuba Hubbard and Aaron Jones above consensus while fading Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DJ Moore and TJ Hockenson. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/316f2dfd-c096-416d-ae8a-6cb60715ceac --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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