# Pat Gustavson — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 71.24% - **MissedTakes Score:** 28.99 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 57 - **Clarity:** 95% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Apr 22, 2026 — scored 68.41 across 14 calls Gustafson handled the even-numbered mock draft picks: David Bailey No. 2 to the Jets, Jeremiah Love No. 4 to the Titans, Karnell Tate No. 6 to the Browns, Ruben Bane No. 8 to the Saints, Jordan Tyson No. 10 to the Giants, and so on. He also said Ty Simpson will be the biggest first-round bust and predicted the Cowboys will trade up into the top five. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/30d59654-62db-490c-8786-44b8d55e5746 ### Mar 2, 2026 — scored 88.56 across 2 calls Gustafson predicts Kyler Murray and Tua will be starters next year, that Malik Willis gets a shot to start, that Kenyon Saddiq goes as a top-10 pick and is the best tight end in the class, and that Jahmyr Gibbs will be a top-two fantasy pick — possibly No. 1 overall — next season. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4f38dcb-6e95-4645-9f16-fad932bc003c ### Feb 24, 2026 — scored 97.5 across 10 calls Gustafson predicted AJ Brown leaves Philadelphia (favoring the Raiders as a fit), assigned free agents to landing spots (Kenneth Walker to Jacksonville, Rashid Shaheed to the Raiders, Juwan Jennings to the Chargers, Isaiah Likely to the Titans, Christian Kirk to the Dolphins), and named his Week 1 quarterbacks including Deshaun Watson for Cleveland and Mac Jones to the Vikings. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/723c800d-fbd0-4e51-a09c-6ea168267741 ### Jan 13, 2026 — scored 54.87 across 11 calls Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 ### Jan 6, 2026 — scored 50.83 across 20 calls Gustafson picked the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, the Rams and Bears in the NFC, the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, and the Patriots to beat the Bears in the Super Bowl. His awards slate included Stafford for MVP, Puka for OPOY and Liam Cohen for Coach of the Year. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/671b9c4f-1f25-4f11-ad26-16a1126ea3b8 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-gustavson