# Pat McAfee — prediction record

Pat McAfee hosts The Pat McAfee Show, where predictions range from game outcomes and player awards to contracts and playoff berths. The calls recorded here touch on the Steelers, Packers, Bills, Ravens, Colts and others, with players from Lamar Jackson to Brock Purdy to Mike Evans getting named. Guests like Nick Saban, JJ Watt and Kirk Herbstreit drop in; the picks come along the way.

## Is Pat McAfee accurate?

Across 6 graded calls in 5 articles, Pat McAfee scores 60% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 8.8, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 60%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 8.8
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 6
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 39.29% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (5)

### Nov 6, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

McAfee picked the Browns, with Shedeur Sanders starting, to beat the Saints in New Orleans.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d0f9dd7-1016-4f2f-ab92-fe6567b2b0be

### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

McAfee also took the Packers to win at home over the Panthers on Thursday night, saying they were tailing AJ Hawk's pick.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a1a08142-24e0-4510-ba56-9e6304b8711e

### Oct 12, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121

### Jan 23, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

McAfee picked New England to beat Denver in the AFC Championship Game, citing the Patriots defense.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/629d8e25-428b-4683-bc92-8dc7526e7001

### Jan 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

McAfee predicted Matthew Stafford will win their first MVP award this season, saying they'll be on stage at the NFL Honors regardless of whether the Rams reach the Super Bowl. They also picked the Bills over the Broncos, the Patriots over the Texans, and said the Rams will win a close one in Chicago (while taking the Bears on the spread).

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aed994b6-b4b4-4f85-8b25-795f67480c5a


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-mcafee