# Pete Martuneac — prediction record

Pete Martuneac covers the Chicago Bears for Sports Illustrated, tracking Caleb Williams, Tyson Bagent and the roster moves around them. The work extends to game predictions, depth chart calls and trade speculation as the deadline approaches.

## Is Pete Martuneac accurate?

Across 9 graded calls in 7 articles, Pete Martuneac scores 37.75% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -70.13, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 37.75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -70.13
- **Graded articles:** 7
- **Graded individual calls:** 9
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 61.49% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (7)

### Oct 23, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Martuneac expects Cole Kmet to miss extended time, pushing rookie Sam Roush into the Bears' TE2 role, and if Roush keeps struggling they predict Chicago will call up practice-squad veteran Stephen Carlson to take over as TE2.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7fa7c5da-7834-4cee-8ea5-b739f71f9786

### Oct 11, 2026 — scored 35.71 across 1 call

Martuneac predicts the Bears dominate the Packers in Week 5, winning 31-13, with Tyson Bagent starting in place of a sidelined Caleb Williams and D'Andre Swift rushing for 120 yards.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2d816270-bb29-4a26-871b-3d05402e59a3

### Oct 4, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9c04a22d-7a98-4ddc-bee0-22cdacb738e1

### Oct 4, 2026 — scored 95.24 across 1 call

Martuneac predicts the Bears beat the Jets 30-17 in Week 4, moving to 3-1, with Tyson Bagent starting and the offense scoring early and often.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a95bb35-3841-4363-b87f-e31b9abbd966

### Sep 1, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Martuneac argues that undrafted rookie defensive back Skyler Thomas, despite making the Bears' initial 53-man roster and grading highly in the preseason, is likely to be released before the Week 1 opener against Carolina. They also note in passing that Cleveland is in the running for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 draft.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e361d74d-6958-4eca-8146-4999bb2eb081

### Aug 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

After Trapilo's activation from the PUP list roughly seven months after rupturing their patellar tendon, Martuneac says the Bears' left tackle competition is over and Trapilo will be starting at left tackle early in the 2026 season, even if not by Week 1.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d42f10ad-a71c-4ea9-95e8-2b53fde77971

### Aug 9, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls

Martuneac names four Bears — Theo Benedet, Roschon Johnson, Ruben Hyppolite II and Tyrique Stevenson — as likely to be cut when roster cutdown day arrives, and describes D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai as locked in as the team's top two running backs.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1323c3a9-e4c9-4c07-b24a-0e5bf18d189e


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pete-martuneac
