# Peter Miller — prediction record



## Is Peter Miller accurate?

Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Peter Miller scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 161, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 161
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 87.5% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 28, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Miller expects Josh Downs to be moved before the Nov. 10 deadline as the Colts continue their teardown, floating the Steelers, Chiefs and Patriots as landing spots and a Day 3 pick as reasonable compensation.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/220a3879-8c5f-4265-b288-90ba71890a3a


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=peter-miller