# Rich Hribar — prediction record Rich Hribar is an experienced fantasy football analyst and prognosticator who uses advanced analytics and deep data analysis to uncover edges in the fantasy marketplace. He publishes his weekly research in "The Worksheet" at Sharp Football Analysis and has appeared on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. By his own account, he's an FSWA Award winner and a top-20 in-season ranker whose work is trusted by DFS tournament winners and redraft champions. His predictions span the fantasy landscape—draft rankings, sleepers, busts, player stat projections, and depth chart calls—covering quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, pass-catchers like CeeDee Lamb and Travis Kelce, and running backs like Christian McCaffrey across teams from the Chiefs to the Lions. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 68.79% - **MissedTakes Score:** 32.68 - **Graded articles:** 11 - **Graded individual calls:** 64 - **Clarity:** 96.32% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (11) ### Sep 16, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/124ac755-a942-4382-8bad-177da7f8170d ### Sep 9, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Hribar previews the Week 1 Dolphins-Raiders game, calling Malik Willis a strong floor-based QB2 for fantasy, noting Kirk Cousins is the Raiders' starter and not a Week 1 streamer in 1QB leagues, and listing expected defensive starters for both teams. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0ff48079-418b-4d5a-9eb2-6e66b0e6f6e1 ### Sep 1, 2024 — scored 50.2 across 47 calls Hribar published full statistical projections and fantasy rankings for 500+ players for the 2024 NFL season, ordering quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends by projected fantasy points and projecting individual passing, rushing and receiving lines. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/636fa042-c413-4d93-a89f-70931e21bbf0 ### Jul 8, 2024 — scored 56.67 across 3 calls Hribar's 2024 tight end tiers place Sam LaPorta as his overall TE1, followed by Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews and Trey McBride in Tier 1. He also notes McBride will remain a core piece of the Cardinals passing game but faces target competition from rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/875d5c47-9666-4ffb-a8ef-fc0283496882 ### Jun 28, 2023 — scored 91.67 across 3 calls In his 2023 fantasy running back tiers, Hribar places Christian McCaffrey, Austin Ekeler and Saquon Barkley in Tier 1 as the backs who check every usage box. He also expects Ekeler and Barkley to retain workhorse/lead-back roles because neither team added a threat to their touches. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8bb532c5-667f-49f1-9d25-760e6429d9ca ### Jun 23, 2023 — scored 91.67 across 1 call Hribar places Travis Kelce alone in Tier 1 as the clear TE1 for 2023, while predicting the gap between Kelce and the rest of the position will narrow compared to 2022. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/818acd32-2bf9-41d4-8cee-284bda36e86f ### Jun 21, 2023 — scored 94.1 across 4 calls Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b ### Jun 19, 2023 — scored 33.33 across 1 call Hribar argues Pat Freiermuth reaching 100 catches in 2023 is highly improbable, and that Chris Godwin is undervalued relative to ADP — his projections have Godwin as WR17 in full-PPR while he personally ranks him WR24. He also flags Rachaad White, James Conner, Keenan Allen and Brandin Cooks as projecting above their draft cost, and prefers Christian Watson to Godwin at similar cost. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/588e280e-19c6-4153-8ce5-a5b1afb1a6f2 ### Apr 26, 2020 — scored 76.67 across 1 call Hribar published his post-NFL Draft top-60 rookie fantasy rankings for the 2020 season, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire vaulting to No. 1 ahead of Jonathan Taylor and J.K. Dobbins. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/12b6771e-a504-44e1-a213-c7fba69c971e ### Mar 6, 2020 — scored 75.2 across 1 call Hribar published a pre-draft top-60 fantasy rookie ranking for 2020, headlined by Jonathan Taylor, J.K. Dobbins and D'Andre Swift at running back and CeeDee Lamb as the top rookie receiver. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5e4b200c-1e14-4fd2-8067-3b5ae6102017 ### Feb 28, 2020 — scored 87.46 across 1 call Hribar published early 2020 fantasy football rankings, a top-200 list of position players headed by Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60f2bb87-e8e1-4f3a-96f4-34885aea23d1 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=rich-hribar