# Ronna Romney McDaniel — prediction record



## Is Ronna Romney McDaniel accurate?

Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Ronna Romney McDaniel scores 25% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -25.25, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 25%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -25.25
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 25, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls

The former RNC chair predicted Republican Mike Rogers wins Michigan's Senate race, that Democrats take the House, and that Republicans hold the Senate because independents in the contested red states lean Republican.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d29a23d1-ed90-409e-b794-f6f1504003dc


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=ronna-romney-mcdaniel