# Russell Baxter — prediction record



## Is Russell Baxter accurate?

Across 3 graded calls in 3 articles, Russell Baxter scores 57.94% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -17.96, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 57.94%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -17.96
- **Graded articles:** 3
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 33.33% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (3)

### Nov 7, 2026 — scored 78.57 across 1 call

Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4c6d407f-7cff-470d-8ce9-616b3d353715

### Oct 14, 2026 — scored 47.62 across 1 call

Baxter picks the Seahawks to beat the Broncos 18-14, with Seattle's defense stifling Denver and the offense settling for six Jason Myers field goals.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6ad41d37-4528-4460-b933-3e810045cea2

### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 47.62 across 1 call

Baxter picks Seattle to hand San Francisco its first loss, 22-20, with the Seahawks kicking five field goals and scoring one touchdown.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe542c37-ad48-40cf-bf32-0858ff634fcd


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=russell-baxter