# Ryan Grim — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 68.67%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 50.33
- **Graded articles:** 3
- **Graded individual calls:** 7
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (3)

### Nov 5, 2024 — scored 78 across 2 calls

Ryan Grim confirmed his prediction map was essentially Sabato's but with Nevada going to Trump, producing a 270-268 Harris electoral college win.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/288de674-5846-4f43-83c5-eef91155984c

### Nov 1, 2024 — scored 14 across 4 calls

He predicted Harris holds Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin while losing the rest of the battlegrounds, which he said would leave her at exactly 270 electoral votes, driven by suburban women.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/79e9ecc9-a660-43e9-bed3-3bf1a67921d8

### Oct 23, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call

Grim argued the Nebraska Senate race would decide Senate control, treating a Democratic loss of the West Virginia seat as already settled and framing Montana as an assumption.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4a3e1e7-6da5-48ab-9f26-b7a1917a444a


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=ryan-grim