# Ryan McCrystal — prediction record



## Is Ryan McCrystal accurate?

Across 36 graded calls in 1 article, Ryan McCrystal scores 60.54% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 40.44, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 60.54%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 40.44
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 36
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 13.89% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Apr 18, 2023 — scored 60.54 across 36 calls

In their most recent mock draft, McCrystal projected specific first-round (and, for teams without first-rounders, Day 2/3) selections for all 32 teams in the 2023 NFL Draft, including Bryce Young at No. 1 to Carolina and Will Anderson at No. 2 to Houston.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/40af5841-7437-4bbc-8432-88cbb660dcf2


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=ryan-mccrystal