# Saagar Enjeti — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 76.35% - **MissedTakes Score:** 37.49 - **Graded articles:** 6 - **Graded individual calls:** 15 - **Clarity:** 100% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (6) ### Nov 5, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls Discussing Sabato's map, Saagar said his own forecast map departed from it by giving Pennsylvania and North Carolina to Trump, based on demographic reasons and Trump's Sun Belt strength. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/61489914-d6fd-4a7d-bd9a-3659925654f5 ### Nov 4, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call Dismissing Trump campaign claims of blowout turnout in New Hampshire, Enjeti said Trump will not carry that state. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41a8eedc-640e-4f6f-ae03-1969fca44c44 ### Nov 4, 2024 — scored 57.38 across 8 calls Saagar forecast a narrow Trump win with 271 electoral votes to Harris's 267, giving Harris Wisconsin, Michigan and North Carolina while Trump takes Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb989d94-53f2-4927-816b-85a994fc98b4 ### Oct 28, 2024 — scored 100 across 2 calls Enjeti says Trump has a better-than-even chance of winning the presidency, while rejecting the idea that Trump can take New Mexico. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/66318766-2b56-4a5f-a026-1de971c46a0e ### Oct 24, 2024 — scored 0 across 1 call Enjeti said that while Pennsylvania is hard to call, the rest of the blue wall — Michigan in particular — looks good for the Harris campaign. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e6ff6232-ef24-4028-88d2-4a9d9ffaa619 ### Oct 23, 2024 — scored 100 across 1 call While arguing that Polymarket's odds are mispriced and that Harris's chances are closer to even, Saagar nonetheless said he does not expect Kamala Harris to win the presidential election — implying a Trump victory. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1f86d426-f054-4303-b0ba-cd58cd0a0f43 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=saagar-enjeti