# Sam Monson — prediction record ## Is Sam Monson accurate? Across 25 graded calls in 8 articles, Sam Monson scores 55.21% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 32.55, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 55.21% - **MissedTakes Score:** 32.55 - **Graded articles:** 8 - **Graded individual calls:** 25 - **Clarity:** 95.65% - **Hedged:** 33.28% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (8) ### Nov 12, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 3 calls Monson walked through the Raiders' remaining schedule game by game, projecting losses to San Francisco, Seattle, Denver (twice) and Kansas City with wins over the Chargers, Titans and Cardinals for five to seven wins; they also said the Chiefs beat the Jets, picked the Giants to win at Philadelphia, expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c50f56a0-de88-4e0e-8138-841b13ff7433 ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls Monson expects the Bengals to beat the Titans comfortably at home, and expects Jacksonville to roll over a Colts team that is selling off players. They also see New England handling Miami fairly easily and Dallas beating Arizona. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4c87bf73-1012-4e59-90a0-0d580f1ab3c6 ### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 9 calls Monson picked the Bears, Saints, Bengals, Vikings, Falcons, Texans, Browns, Jets, Panthers, Broncos, Lions, Raiders and Chiefs in Week 7, and said Minnesota would still post a good record and make the playoffs even if its offense stays stagnant. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/970d291d-360e-447a-8ab4-9463c1b3d1f2 ### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Monson says the Rams will start a winning run now that the schedule eases, beginning with a win over the Cardinals. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bb378717-03e8-407a-b159-807105593035 ### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls Monson predicted the Bills would beat the Patriots, possibly handily, agreed the Bears would beat the Jets, and said the Chargers would be beaten down by Seattle. They also said Dallas Turner would lead the league in pressures and sacks, and expected Jalen Coker to miss the Panthers' game. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6630e3a9-d04a-4602-9ed7-806579e81c38 ### Sep 24, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call They assume Carson Wentz will start at quarterback for Minnesota in Week 2, and they believe the Steelers are more likely to trade Joey Porter Jr. than to give them a top-of-the-market contract. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6d94d797-59da-41c3-9d75-f4f2584b5866 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=sam-monson