# Sean Parnell — prediction record



## Is Sean Parnell accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Sean Parnell scores 0% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 0%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 0
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 2, 2022 — scored 0 across 1 call

Parnell, the former Pennsylvania Senate candidate who dropped out of the race, predicted that Mehmet Oz would win a close Senate contest against John Fetterman.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99c9c098-44b8-40cb-982f-c5ae64e4fa62

### Oct 27, 2022 — scored 0 across 1 call

Parnell, who had withdrawn from the Pennsylvania Senate race, predicted that after Fetterman's debate performance the race would break toward Mehmet Oz, who would win narrowly.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/066b7644-ab62-4082-b443-a7792ae569a1


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=sean-parnell