# Sean Spicer — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 80.56%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 30.72
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 15
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Nov 3, 2024 — scored 77.78 across 9 calls

Spicer forecasts Trump carrying Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina and Nevada, with Republican Senate wins for Mike Rogers in Michigan and Eric Hovde in Wisconsin, and expects New Jersey to be close, within six or seven points.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04bf47f5-382a-4338-8255-e7f6fbf3fe68

### Oct 23, 2024 — scored 83.33 across 6 calls

Spicer said Nevada, the battleground he had been most worried about, is now solidly Trump's, and predicted Dave McCormick wins Pennsylvania's Senate race with Mike Rogers also winning in Michigan, while calling the Nebraska, Florida and Texas Senate seats safe for Republicans.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/714ad230-6ec2-4ee5-904a-e3b906c62fee


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=sean-spicer