# Susan Davis — prediction record



## Is Susan Davis accurate?

Across 4 graded calls in 2 articles, Susan Davis scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 91, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 91
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** not enough data
- **Hedged:** not enough data
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Sep 5, 2024 — scored 100 across 3 calls

Davis said Republicans are well positioned to flip Montana's Senate seat, that Trump will carry Montana at the presidential level, and that the overall battle for the Senate tilts toward Republicans.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f48879d0-9fc8-4144-840e-daa04dec0ea4

### Oct 31, 2022 — scored 100 across 1 call

Davis framed Republicans as well positioned to win the House majority heading into election day, noting the GOP needs a net gain of about five seats.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1e3d5611-e28b-4665-8c60-72478c44037c


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=susan-davis