# Tyler Sullivan — prediction record Tyler Sullivan covers the NFL for CBS Sports, writing weekly columns that span game predictions, power rankings, and roster moves across the league. His work touches every corner of the schedule—from Vikings injury updates to early betting lines to team-by-team grades—with a particular focus on the AFC and NFC matchups that shape the playoff picture. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 50.82% - **MissedTakes Score:** 9.72 - **Graded articles:** 19 - **Graded individual calls:** 51 - **Clarity:** 100% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (19) ### Sep 28, 2026 — scored 16.67 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 26-20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6139601-cce2-42ac-8f89-dca315e01efa ### Sep 27, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Sullivan expects the Giants, thin at quarterback after Jaxson Dart's season-ending knee injury, to elevate Jake Haener from the practice squad for Week 3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb928ca7-b6fd-41e7-8b48-b38e4f64ce09 ### Sep 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/02afe96e-e7a9-4a06-b7eb-d322d3936c8c ### Sep 23, 2026 — scored 61.31 across 16 calls Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. He also expects Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4b11b44-d359-4027-a72c-87833f5ff6e3 ### Sep 21, 2026 — scored 69.05 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-21. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8b0050fc-eab7-4a1a-8927-d7d68e482885 ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 68.25 across 3 calls Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d758df3d-dbf8-44e5-b96c-77485489cf0c ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 85.71 across 2 calls Sullivan picks the Bills 31-27 over the Lions and the Eagles to beat the Titans 27-17. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a81fc2f3-5937-4fe2-b19f-098cffc7a412 ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 40 across 5 calls A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0ee2daf0-868b-4ffd-a252-f478174d97f6 ### Sep 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call In a piece ranking five 0-1 teams by how badly they need a Week 2 win, the only concrete on-field call is that Green Bay should go into MetLife Stadium and beat the Jets in Week 2. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1e2e2de2-bc30-4cd0-9a3f-f2c596524dc3 ### Sep 14, 2026 — scored 9.52 across 1 call Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d8636e57-b6d8-471a-a98a-75871c7ee5bf ### Sep 14, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1000d8d0-5de1-405e-b8ce-255cde75a32d ### Sep 14, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call The piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca ### Sep 13, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Sullivan takes the Jaguars to beat the Browns, doubting Deshaun Watson, and takes the Eagles over the Commanders at home. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ac678dcb-56cb-48c5-912c-3e8c8522e681 ### Sep 10, 2026 — scored 40 across 5 calls A CBS Sports piece flags five Week 1 underdogs as upset candidates: the 49ers over the Rams in Melbourne, the Texans over the Bills, the Panthers over the Bears, the Jets over the Titans, and the Broncos over the Chiefs on Monday night. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd6c3269-8c90-4044-9c48-0b1fc3537699 ### Sep 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/054d7c3e-baca-4414-b3dd-72c4eced2725 ### Aug 30, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call In a rookie quarterback report card following the 2026 preseason, CBS Sports projects Fernando Mendoza opening the year as Kirk Cousins' backup in Las Vegas, Luke Altmyer settling as the Lions' third quarterback behind Joshua Dobbs, and Jack Strand most likely landing on Atlanta's practice squad rather than the 53-man roster. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d84e8921-bcc5-4864-a4b8-1b0562c2c10c ### Aug 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call A preseason overreaction piece: Kirk Cousins, not rookie Fernando Mendoza, will start Week 1 for the Raiders; 49ers second-rounder De'Zhaun Stribling could be the most productive rookie receiver in 2026 and the team's top target; Cam Ward's rough preseason isn't a real problem; Drew Allar isn't yet Pittsburgh's 2027 starter; and D.J. Moore will boost Buffalo's offense. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/171507fa-f1c7-4308-957f-f9114e41996a ### Aug 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Sullivan predicts Kyler Murray beats out J.J. McCarthy to start Week 1 for the Vikings, and that Deshaun Watson wins the Browns' quarterback battle over Shedeur Sanders. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5816056-90bc-46bd-8232-660289eb999f ### Aug 3, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls A CBS Sports piece predicts the winners of the four ongoing quarterback battles — Kyler Murray in Minnesota, Tua Tagovailoa in Atlanta, Deshaun Watson in Cleveland and Kirk Cousins in Las Vegas — and names several veterans (Brissett, Geno Smith, Malik Willis) as their teams' Week 1 starters, with rookie Fernando Mendoza opening as Cousins' backup. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/01cff256-f2a6-4304-81b2-b7aa782af3c7 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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