# Tyler Sullivan — prediction record Tyler Sullivan covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on game outcomes, player movement and awards. Sullivan's predictions touch teams across the league, from the Chiefs and Vikings to the Raiders and 49ers, with recurring attention to quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins, Lamar Jackson and J.J. McCarthy. ## Is Tyler Sullivan accurate? Across 192 graded calls in 63 articles, Tyler Sullivan scores 62.02% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 31.12, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles. That ranks #27 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 62.02% - **MissedTakes Score:** 31.12 - **Graded articles:** 63 - **Graded individual calls:** 192 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 49.15% of claims - **Right when hedging:** 57.12% (48 graded) - **Right when committing:** 62.37% (144 graded) This is an established record: 30 or more graded articles. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (63) ### Nov 12, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf ### Nov 9, 2026 — scored 76.19 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b ### Nov 9, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Picks the Bills over the Vikings. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/40bd2e3d-a178-4401-a074-c0d1c04eeef7 ### Nov 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 80.96 across 2 calls Sullivan takes the Jaguars over the Ravens on Thursday and expects the Bears to beat the Buccaneers for their fourth straight win. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c221290-9df2-49bf-ad6f-0ea87c19f24a ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 77.38 across 4 calls Sullivan's Week 9 game-by-game score predictions include the Chiefs over the Jets, Saints over the Browns, Texans over the Chargers and Broncos over the Panthers. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/996c66be-26d8-4d94-b0c8-ee534760354a ### Nov 5, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Sullivan flags five Week 9 underdogs they expect to pull upsets: the Packers at New England, the Vikings over Buffalo, the winless Chargers over Houston, the Panthers over Denver, and the Falcons over Cincinnati in Madrid. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b01bc807-6ff9-460f-8ab3-c7506b54effb ### Nov 2, 2026 — scored 19.05 across 1 call Sullivan picks the Seahawks over the Bears, 27-23. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/92d97112-4755-40a9-afdc-6ab5a3049af0 ### Nov 2, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Sullivan picks the Seahawks to beat the Bears in Week 8. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b82687ec-a2e0-42b7-b92f-0400b3a54c89 ### Nov 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Sullivan expects the Jets to lose in Kansas City in Week 9, leaving them with seven losses in nine games by the trade deadline, and wonders whether the Vikings will drop their next three games (vs. Bills, at Packers, vs. 49ers) to fall to 6-4. They also say Carson Beck will eventually take over as the Cardinals' starting quarterback. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29145b73-9009-4361-b2ee-3330a2af2dfe ### Oct 30, 2026 — scored 88.1 across 1 call Sullivan predicted the Jaguars to beat the Colts 33-20 and the Patriots to win at Miami 30-20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4958cf4d-99e6-4ebf-9c3d-9e376448eb33 ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Picked the Seahawks to beat the Bears in Week 8. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e1dd3896-a223-4f39-9487-4cd674edc308 ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 91.67 across 2 calls Sullivan picks the Packers 30-20 over the Panthers and the Patriots to beat the Dolphins 30-20 on the road. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b29e9545-ab5c-48b1-9d52-41fb12522050 ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Sullivan expects the Colts to reduce Jonathan Taylor's workload and give backup Seth McGowan more carries ahead of the trade deadline, predicts Lamar Jackson returns without rust and leads Baltimore to a road win over Buffalo, sees T.J. Hockenson scoring twice against Detroit, forecasts a breakout for rookie Antonio Williams, and picks Atlanta to upset Tampa Bay and take first place in the NFC South. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3245a6cc-cf65-4b0a-9b4e-7b58a5f00a54 ### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Sullivan's Week 8 upset alert column flags five favorites they expect to lose: they pick the Falcons over the Buccaneers, the Raiders over the Jets, the undefeated Vikings over the Lions, the Ravens (with Lamar Jackson returning) over the Bills, and the Browns over the Steelers. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1ca06895-a1db-4f4e-b814-270f5ecea69c ### Oct 26, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Cowboys over the Eagles, 27-17. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1141e257-339e-446b-aa01-0448319a3852 ### Oct 23, 2026 — scored 40.48 across 1 call Sullivan picks the Jets to beat the winless Dolphins 23-16 at home, and also backs the Vikings to stay undefeated by beating the Colts at home. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d075a741-acfe-4fdb-81e6-dc7c4b12f785 ### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 95.24 across 3 calls Sullivan picked the Bears 24-20 over the Patriots and the Browns 24-17 over the Titans, and flagged three Week 7 upsets: the Giants over the Texans, the Falcons over the 49ers and the Cardinals over the Broncos. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1d67a8ee-754b-41de-a167-d594db022b38 ### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 87.3 across 3 calls Sullivan's Week 7 picks had the Rams beating the Raiders, the Browns beating the Titans, and the Steelers beating the Saints, all with exact scores. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3658775-3ea6-4449-8057-c27cff890598 ### Oct 22, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls In his Week 7 upset alert column, Sullivan expects the Cardinals to score in the low-to-mid 20s and beat the visiting Broncos, whose offense he views as broken under Bo Nix. He also suggests Sam Darnold's turnovers will let the Chiefs win in Seattle and remain undefeated. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/acdebc00-85f6-4a9d-9cd8-f803aaebe525 ### Oct 21, 2026 — scored 59.69 across 14 calls Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 7 NFL game, including a comfortable Vikings home win over the Colts, a Jets win over the winless Dolphins, a Browns road win in Tennessee, another Cardinals upset over Denver, and a Bengals win in Baltimore. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97bc793d-c9fd-46fc-9ecb-2df22b1100ac ### Oct 19, 2026 — scored 90.48 across 1 call Sullivan picked the 49ers to defeat the Commanders 30-20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b368b81-0ec9-441a-b755-4f0c7d3d43b2 ### Oct 16, 2026 — scored 45.24 across 1 call Picks the Colts to beat the Titans 24-20, arguing the line is too big for a divisional game given Indianapolis' own offensive and defensive shortcomings. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3441f8c-bf4b-4cda-9fd8-c94906cdf1b7 ### Oct 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Sullivan says it would not surprise them if the Titans beat the Colts for their first win of the season, arguing the line is too big in the divisional matchup. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/df50c99c-c644-4281-a89f-8e4fa9499a42 ### Oct 16, 2026 — scored 55.55 across 3 calls Sullivan predicted the Patriots to cruise past the Jets 30-17, the Buccaneers to upset the Steelers 24-23, and the Colts to beat the Titans by a narrow 24-20 margin. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42e04c5a-f6a1-410d-aeb5-78c0b630307e ### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 61.91 across 2 calls Sullivan picks the Seahawks 24-19 over the Broncos and the Panthers to win 23-21 at Philadelphia, also expecting Jalen Coker back for Carolina. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04394708-436d-443b-ba0d-f8f089c1d4b0 ### Oct 15, 2026 — scored 60 across 5 calls Sullivan floats Week 6 outcomes they wouldn't be shocked by: MarShawn Lloyd running for 100 yards against Dallas, the Giants beating the Saints while the Cowboys and Eagles both lose to grow New York's NFC East lead to 2.5 games, Tennessee finally winning against the Colts, and Pittsburgh losing in Tampa Bay. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e767138-06b9-4905-b47f-e5b6a36e294e ### Oct 14, 2026 — scored 60.88 across 14 calls Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 6 game, calling for underdog wins by the Panthers in Philadelphia and the Buccaneers at home over the Steelers, plus a Patriots blowout of the Jets. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fd5d9e28-2a59-4c8e-b26c-7404e58b13a4 ### Oct 12, 2026 — scored 47.62 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/71e3f67c-e086-4efb-ac04-e77eeafc855b ### Oct 9, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Sullivan flagged Week 5 upset candidates, pointing to the Cardinals knocking off the favored Lions and the 49ers beating the Seahawks on the road. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/84c6cb38-3454-496e-ba3d-b66e81dea9eb ### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 54.76 across 2 calls Sullivan picked the Cowboys 34-20 over the Buccaneers and took the Jaguars to beat a reeling Eagles team 30-17 in London. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3cdfd76b-ddeb-422d-a090-243e155bc63a ### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 58.57 across 5 calls Sullivan picks the Bears to beat the Packers in their NFC North matchup, leaning on Chicago's league-leading rushing attack against a Green Bay run defense that has struggled. They also give score predictions for several other Week 5 games: Lions over Cardinals, Vikings over Saints, Texans over Titans and Bengals over Dolphins. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57e3cdd6-d21f-4ac3-a174-892fab6a1384 ### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Sullivan expects Jacksonville to blow out the Eagles in London, dropping Philadelphia below.500, and they also see San Francisco winning at Seattle. They additionally project Jacoby Brissett to throw for 350 yards against Detroit's struggling defense. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ded5966b-5912-4c57-950d-ba45fab38d45 ### Oct 8, 2026 — scored 20 across 5 calls Sullivan flags five Week 5 favorites they think are vulnerable, effectively picking the Raiders, Packers, Browns, Saints and Cardinals to pull off upsets. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/40efbe41-c903-4cd7-9185-057d1861efe8 ### Oct 7, 2026 — scored 63.73 across 15 calls Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 5 game, including the Steelers beating the rest-disadvantaged Colts, the Jaguars routing a banged-up Eagles team in London, and the Bears winning at Lambeau. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e47d4e2c-8117-4706-9b6d-f8aa132b8a27 ### Oct 5, 2026 — scored 54.76 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-24. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7ca93a36-aaa0-498c-bf42-f50c9e3d9603 ### Oct 5, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Sullivan argues the 2-2 Packers are a hollow.500 team unlikely to climb over.500 during a tough three-game stretch, expects the Chargers to keep losing with Denver and Kansas City up next, calls the Jaguars the league's most underrated team, and says the Raiders are legitimately good despite their first loss. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ebb5d4ad-8432-4585-a227-dd908f2def6b ### Oct 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Sullivan flagged the Panthers as a potential Week 4 upset winner over the Lions, arguing Detroit's bottom-of-the-league defense gives Carolina a path to a victory that would even its record. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f9af13a6-c9be-4c9d-ab38-029730bafac7 ### Oct 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Sullivan picks the Cowboys to win outright in Houston and likes the Seahawks to win big at home over the Chargers. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/62dc6648-5bd2-4e17-8f20-ecbe3c67e0f8 ### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 73.81 across 2 calls Sullivan picked the Steelers 21-17 over the Browns on Thursday night and the Rams to beat the Eagles 24-20 in Week 4. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/714f93f7-442d-4bff-b05e-3d81206aa60c ### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Looking ahead to Week 4, Sullivan expects the Titans to pull Cam Ward in Baltimore and turn to Mitch Trubisky, and they expect the Vikings to beat Miami and shut the Dolphins out at home. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ede7f53-7800-4be7-91eb-0d42f50ba539 ### Oct 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call In a Week 4 upset-alert piece, Sullivan leans to the Cowboys beating the Texans in Houston, arguing Houston's offense is too inept to exploit Dallas' poor defense and that C.J. Stroud will struggle to come back if Dallas gets ahead. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2ff3b4da-c867-40a5-aac4-bdc2d05b4694 ### Sep 30, 2026 — scored 65.92 across 16 calls Sullivan gives projected final scores for every Week 4 game, picking the Rams to win in Philadelphia, the Packers to beat the Buccaneers, the Cowboys to win in Houston, and blowouts for the Seahawks and Vikings, among others. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1b7f0155-94a5-4221-a511-cb3e84a85519 ### Sep 28, 2026 — scored 16.67 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 26-20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f6139601-cce2-42ac-8f89-dca315e01efa ### Sep 28, 2026 — scored 100 across 5 calls Sullivan argues the 0-3 Chargers are more likely to fall to 0-9 than recover playoff relevance, and they doubt the 0-3 Texans will make the postseason. They also float a possible franchise reset including firing the offensive coordinator and even trading Justin Herbert, and they tout Jets rookie TE Kenyon Sadiq and Colts WR Josh Downs as players to buy stock in. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9868de6-ac6f-4b28-a68c-6541371eb633 ### Sep 27, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Sullivan expects the Giants, thin at quarterback after Jaxson Dart's season-ending knee injury, to elevate Jake Haener from the practice squad for Week 3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb928ca7-b6fd-41e7-8b48-b38e4f64ce09 ### Sep 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/02afe96e-e7a9-4a06-b7eb-d322d3936c8c ### Sep 23, 2026 — scored 61.31 across 16 calls Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. They also expect Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4b11b44-d359-4027-a72c-87833f5ff6e3 ### Sep 21, 2026 — scored 69.05 across 1 call Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-21. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8b0050fc-eab7-4a1a-8927-d7d68e482885 ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 68.25 across 3 calls Sullivan has Tampa Bay blowing out Cleveland, Green Bay winning narrowly at the Jets, and Philadelphia beating Tennessee by double digits. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d758df3d-dbf8-44e5-b96c-77485489cf0c ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 85.71 across 2 calls Sullivan picks the Bills 31-27 over the Lions and the Eagles to beat the Titans 27-17. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a81fc2f3-5937-4fe2-b19f-098cffc7a412 ### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 40 across 5 calls A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0ee2daf0-868b-4ffd-a252-f478174d97f6 ### Sep 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call In a piece ranking five 0-1 teams by how badly they need a Week 2 win, the only concrete on-field call is that Green Bay should go into MetLife Stadium and beat the Jets in Week 2. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1e2e2de2-bc30-4cd0-9a3f-f2c596524dc3 ### Sep 14, 2026 — scored 9.52 across 1 call Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d8636e57-b6d8-471a-a98a-75871c7ee5bf ### Sep 14, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call In a Week 1 recap with no named byline, CBS Sports suggested Michael Penix Jr. would take over as Atlanta's Week 2 starter if healthy, called Ashton Jeanty's sophomore breakout imminent, and warned readers not to overlook San Francisco as NFC West winners. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1000d8d0-5de1-405e-b8ce-255cde75a32d ### Sep 14, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call The piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca ### Sep 13, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Sullivan takes the Jaguars to beat the Browns, doubting Deshaun Watson, and takes the Eagles over the Commanders at home. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ac678dcb-56cb-48c5-912c-3e8c8522e681 ### Sep 10, 2026 — scored 40 across 5 calls A CBS Sports piece flags five Week 1 underdogs as upset candidates: the 49ers over the Rams in Melbourne, the Texans over the Bills, the Panthers over the Bears, the Jets over the Titans, and the Broncos over the Chiefs on Monday night. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd6c3269-8c90-4044-9c48-0b1fc3537699 ### Sep 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/054d7c3e-baca-4414-b3dd-72c4eced2725 ### Aug 30, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call In a rookie quarterback report card following the 2026 preseason, CBS Sports projects Fernando Mendoza opening the year as Kirk Cousins' backup in Las Vegas, Luke Altmyer settling as the Lions' third quarterback behind Joshua Dobbs, and Jack Strand most likely landing on Atlanta's practice squad rather than the 53-man roster. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d84e8921-bcc5-4864-a4b8-1b0562c2c10c ### Aug 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call A preseason overreaction piece: Kirk Cousins, not rookie Fernando Mendoza, will start Week 1 for the Raiders; 49ers second-rounder De'Zhaun Stribling could be the most productive rookie receiver in 2026 and the team's top target; Cam Ward's rough preseason isn't a real problem; Drew Allar isn't yet Pittsburgh's 2027 starter; and D.J. Moore will boost Buffalo's offense. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/171507fa-f1c7-4308-957f-f9114e41996a ### Aug 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Sullivan predicts Kyler Murray beats out J.J. McCarthy to start Week 1 for the Vikings, and that Deshaun Watson wins the Browns' quarterback battle over Shedeur Sanders. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5816056-90bc-46bd-8232-660289eb999f ### Aug 3, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls A CBS Sports piece predicts the winners of the four ongoing quarterback battles — Kyler Murray in Minnesota, Tua Tagovailoa in Atlanta, Deshaun Watson in Cleveland and Kirk Cousins in Las Vegas — and names several veterans (Brissett, Geno Smith, Malik Willis) as their teams' Week 1 starters, with rookie Fernando Mendoza opening as Cousins' backup. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/01cff256-f2a6-4304-81b2-b7aa782af3c7 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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