# Will Kaback — prediction record ## Is Will Kaback accurate? Across 7 graded calls in 7 articles, Will Kaback scores 57.14% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 57.14% - **MissedTakes Score:** 0 - **Graded articles:** 7 - **Graded individual calls:** 7 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 71.43% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (7) ### Nov 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Kabak expects Republican Byron Donalds to win Florida's governor's race, even though the contest has tightened more than expected. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/00b4c4f8-4da3-4636-b442-cf89df0af272 ### Nov 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Kaback predicts Republican Byron Donalds will win the Florida governor's race, though possibly by a narrower margin than expected. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9e7f66a8-97c7-4c57-ac5f-d16cbefdf192 ### Nov 1, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Kaback said that although Maine's Senate race is a genuine toss-up, they would give the edge to Republican incumbent Susan Collins over Democrat Troy Jackson, citing their influential Senate position. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b40ba1df-238b-45b6-8f81-ecc18d6871d7 ### Oct 28, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Tangle senior editor Will Kaback said that while Maine's Senate race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson is genuinely close, they give Collins the edge, citing their Appropriations Committee clout and history of surviving tough races. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f0e966e-0246-4ca0-b3a3-7593f4461c64 ### Oct 28, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Kaback calls the Maine Senate race a true toss-up but says Susan Collins is the favorite to win a sixth term, citing their Appropriations Committee clout and history of surviving tough races despite a bad national environment for Republicans. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/750e65f1-db69-4322-98bf-99ad070a0c95 ### Oct 14, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Kaback argues the raid on Rep. Ilhan Omar's home is about messaging rather than their electoral prospects, saying their deep-blue Minneapolis district means they will win reelection. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f0e4bd8c-909b-44b4-b1cb-1abd79c871b1 ### Oct 14, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Kaback argues the raid on Rep. Ilhan Omar's home isn't aimed at their reelection chances because their Minneapolis district is overwhelmingly Democratic, and they state flatly that they will win reelection. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/acdd587c-9769-4b12-ac39-54aa3b08b289 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=will-kaback