Mike Moraitis· Sep 30, 2026
Moraitis predicts that if Jaylon Johnson's poor play continues, the Bears will release him next offseason given the contract out they hold.
“At this rate, Johnson is heading for a cut next offseason.”
published in writing · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Trade and Signing CallsJaylon JohnsonSep 30, 2026
Jaylon Johnson to move — “heading for a cut next offseason”
“At this rate, Johnson is heading for a cut next offseason.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -183
- player:
- Jaylon Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- CHI
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- CHI
- weeks left when called:
- 15
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