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Adam CarlsonSep 12, 2026

Carlson names three Vikings they expect could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Adam Carlson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
there is a chance that at least one player from head coach Kevin O'Connell's roster will be traded before the end of September
Adam Carlson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
3 Vikings Who Could Be Traded Before September Is Over
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 12
  2. GradedOct 8
  1. 1J.J. McCarthy to move to Minnesota Vikings“By now, it feels like a parting of J.J. McCarthy and the Vikings is inevitable. ... Minnesota will have to shop him around the league to see if there are any interested franchises”
  2. 2Ivan Pace Jr. to move to Minnesota Vikings“To get as much value as possible for Pace, a trade would have to be done soon.”
  3. 3Jordan Addison to move to Minnesota Vikings“However, for the right compensation, it would make sense for Minnesota to trade away the former first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
J.J. McCarthy to move to Minnesota Vikings1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
Ivan Pace Jr. to move to Minnesota Vikings2Trade and Signing Calls————
Jordan Addison to move to Minnesota Vikings3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsJ.J. McCarthyMinnesota Vikings

    J.J. McCarthy to move to Minnesota Vikings

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    J.J. McCarthy
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    MIN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → NYG (from MIN)
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsIvan Pace Jr.Minnesota Vikings

    Ivan Pace Jr. to move to Minnesota Vikings

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsJordan AddisonMinnesota Vikings

    Jordan Addison to move to Minnesota Vikings

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.