Loading…
Loading…
Derek Brown — known around FantasyPros as "DBro" — is a senior fantasy football and NFL analyst for the site, where he writes analysis columns like "The Primer" and co-hosts shows including Sweating Sundays. His work centers on the practical decisions fantasy managers face: rankings, start/sit calls, and detailed player breakdowns. He's also appeared on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. The predictions we've tracked cover the full spectrum of fantasy prep — sleepers and busts, positional finishes, draft rankings, and season stat projections — across teams from the Packers to the Panthers to the Dolphins.
Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
Every take from Derek Brown, including the ones still waiting →
Is Derek Brown accurate? Across 105 graded calls in 13 articles, Derek Brown scores 65.73% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 38.68, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.86% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
2 of 13 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 4 of 4.
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ranking him as an RB one)
“So I was in on Kiren last year, but I am out this year... people are drafting him as an RB one, he easily could be an RB two in this offense”
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifteen and ADP)
“So this projection and where we are where the consensus is on Tyrek Hill scares the Bejesus out of me because I can't see him paying all on this.”
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (the wide receiver twenty)
“If he goes back into that role and Mahomes is still one of the worst deep all passes in the NFL, he's not going to come close to paying all this projection, not even close”
Chase Brown to fall short of his draft cost (twelve RB overall)
“if that's where he goes he's gonna be a big bust this coming year because people are expecting RB one production if they are rafting Chase Brown.”
Drake Maye to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
“I'm actually in line with these projections, Like right now, I've got Drake May as my QB twenty I think”
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)
“if he looks like the guy from weeks one through eight, Yeah, this is this year's JK. Dobbins... I just bumped him up to RB thirty two”
Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (RB ninety one)
“I think Rishard Smith is gonna make noise in this backfield as the new Jerrick McKinnon... He should be inside the top fifty like he is in my ranks”
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think Tony Pollard is still going to be the quick, clear, workhorse, sixty to sixty five percent snap guy. He's gonna get the red zone touches”
Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
“going back to Caleb Johnson, he shouldn't be in this tier. He is the clear guy”
Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (RB twenty two)
“So Aaron Jones, I can't draft at RB twenty two right now. I just I can't do it.”
RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty three)
“I've got RJ. Harvey is locked in top fifteen back this year”
Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine)
“Somebody explained to me why Caleb Johnson is not in this tier... he shouldn't be in this tier. He is the clear guy”
TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty four)
“outside of r J. Harvey, Trevion is gonna be definitely one of my big targets this year”