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37 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.72% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 37 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
1–25 of 1,269
670 / 1,269
graded
599 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 3 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 73.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 19 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 40.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 24 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 63.3 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 22 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 70.6 accuracy (2 settled)
Herd hierarchy countdown: "I'll put Joe Burrow and the guys at 10" ... "I put them at nine" ... "I put Denver at eight" ... "I put Detroit at seven" ... "Bills at six" ... "Kansas City's at number five" ... "I have him at four" (New England) ... "Bears at three" ... number two San Francisco ... number one Seattle
Khalil Mack to move to Chicago Bears
I think they should go after Khalil Mack of the Chargers. I really do.
DeForest Buckner to move to San Francisco 49ers
If I'm the Niners, I go after DeForest Bruckner.
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
No, I think Seattle is going to make the NFC championship.
Caleb Williams to sign for $63M–$77M a year with Chicago Bears
Caleb is going to be making $ 70 million a year when he signs.
Jonathan Taylor to move to Dallas Cowboys
I don't think it's crazy that the Cowboys go after Jonathan Taylor... Jonathan Taylor to Dallas
Caleb Williams to finish top 3 at his position, by an unstated measure
I said before the season, I said, Caleb will be a top three quarterback in the league. It'll be Alan Mahomes, some order and Caleb by the end of the year.
Denver Broncos to beat Minnesota
If you told me today Minnesota played the Broncos at nine, I'm taking the Broncos.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns
So I would think it's slam dunk for the Steelers here. Browns on the road are not as good.
if the whole league were free agents, my draft picks would go like... Patrick, Josh, Caleb.
New Orleans Saints to beat Vikings
I got one. Saints at home getting points against the undefeated Vikings.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Bucs
I don't think the Bucs are taking down the Cowboys.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
They're obviously a good team. They'll obviously be in the playoffs.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Philadelphia Eagles
Like, London for the Jags, they are going to lose.
Carolina Panthers to beat The Panthers
The Panthers are all of a sudden frisky. They probably win that game.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I still think they're going to win the division.
The top 10 NFL teams, according to college number 10... I'm going to put Dallas at number 10... I have the Colts at nine... Atlanta at number eight... I have the Rams at seven... I have them at number six [Bills]... I trust Ben Johnson and the Bears [five]... The Jags have figured out how to use Travis Hunter. I have them at four... Kansas City... I have them at three... That's kind of what Seattle is [two]... Number one... the 49ers
Drake London to finish top 6 at his position, by an unstated measure
Drake London's a top five or six receiver.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa Bay
Dallas at home should polish off Tampa Bay.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tampa Bay
I think everyone has the same mentality. We all think. Joe will win, but it won't be by more than three.
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs
Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division.
Here's my herd hierarchy. We'll start at number 10 on the eve of the NFL season... Number one... the Seahawks... Where are the Chiefs? I have them in 11th. Where are the Ravens? I have them at 12.
Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart
But I'm confident right now in Drew Luck going until he's come back.