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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.43% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 15 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
2051–2075 of 2,326
21 / 2,326
graded
2,305 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 19 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 10 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 17 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost (Going as the QB21, 161st overall)
Going as the QB21, 161st overall, one analyst ranks him as high as QB14 ... all support a real breakout case
Tyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
DeVonta Smith to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
one analyst has him as his WR10 ... receivers with that kind of target volume and modest touchdown production tend to finish as top-10 fantasy receivers
DeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles
Christian Watson to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
one analyst has him as high as WR20
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Tyler Shough to finish top 14 at his position, by fantasy points
one analyst ranks him as high as QB14
Tyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
Javonte Williams to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
one analyst has him as a top-12 back
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (Going as the RB16, 34th overall)
Going as the RB16, 34th overall, one analyst has him as a top-12 back and would consider taking him as early as round two
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
Kyler Murray to outplay his draft cost (Going as the QB17)
Going as the QB17, one analyst views this as real value ... setting up a real bounce-back case.
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (Round 15)
real top-12 quarterback upside at an end-of-draft price
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (Round 5)
David Montgomery (RB – HOU) is a strong RB2 with real RB1 upside, not a dead-zone back.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (Round 8)
offering real QB1-overall upside at a late-round price
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars
Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (Round 8)
Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) offers real rushing upside paired with rookie-year efficiency that was genuinely elite
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (Round 7)
Jonathon Brooks (RB – CAR) is finally fully healthy entering his third season... fully cleared for a significant role
Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers
Brock Bowers to win Offensive Player of the Year
Brock Bowers (TE – LV) is a long-shot dark horse for Offensive Player of the Year.
James Cook to outplay his draft cost (Round 1)
James Cook (RB – BUF) has already shown flashes of every skill needed to be the overall RB1
Puka Nacua to outplay his draft cost (Round 1)
Puka Nacua (WR – LAR) could be a season-defining player if he hits his ceiling.
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (Round 5)
Bhayshul Tuten (RB – JAX) is an easy breakout candidate entering his second season.
Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars
Deebo Samuel Sr. to outplay his draft cost (Round 11)
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) has an ADP that's unlikely to catch up to his actual talent level fast enough.
Deebo Samuel Sr.San Francisco 49ers
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
Javonte Williams (RB – DAL) was actually the RB1 in fantasy points per game last year, yet he's being drafted like a mid-tier RB2 this year.
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost (Round 6)
Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) offers access to elite quarterback play at a real discount... he's currently going outside the top five at the position
Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles
Tre Harris to outplay his draft cost (Round 13)
positioning him as a potential riser in the pecking order over two more established, higher-drafted teammates
Tre HarrisLos Angeles Chargers
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (Round 2)
Chase Brown (RB – CIN) has real top-three overall ceiling that isn't being discussed enough.
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (Round 6)
Christian Watson (WR – GB) profiles as a year-four breakout disguised as a year-five breakout
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
if he combines his rushing volume with expanded receiving work, he has a real path to finishing as the top overall running back
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (Round 4)
Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) has real number-one-overall tight end upside, not just top-12.
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Round 10)
Isaiah Likely (TE – NYG) should run a lot more routes this year than a rival late-round tight end target