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Writes at Locked On 49ers (podcast)
Across 9 graded calls in 9 articles, Mike Clay scores 22.22% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -22.78, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 39 calls · one square per call
2hits22% of graded
7misses78%
30waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
9 graded calls in 9 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Mike Clay, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“Mike Clay: Bills”
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Mike Clay isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Mike Clay: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“Mike Clay: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chicago Bears
“Mike Clay, ESPN : Seattle Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“Mike Clay: Jets”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%).
Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans
“Mike Clay: Colts”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
“Mike Clay: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers
“Mike Clay: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.