Pat Fitzmaurice

Pat Fitzmaurice is managing editor at FantasyPros and BettingPros, where he writes about fantasy football rankings, draft strategy, and player evaluations. A Milwaukee native and Green Bay Packers fan, he's previously written and edited for Pro Football Weekly, Tribune Media Services, 4for4, and The Football Girl. His work here spans the full fantasy spectrum — sleepers and busts, waiver wire advice, start/sit calls, and season-long projections — covering players across the league from Brock Bowers to Trevor Lawrence to Kyle Pitts.

Writes at FantasyPros

Every take from Pat Fitzmaurice, including the ones still waiting →

Is Pat Fitzmaurice accurate? Across 161 graded calls in 27 articles, Pat Fitzmaurice scores 58.21% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 35.95, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

58.21%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

35.95

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

161

Graded calls

across 27 articles. 289 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

98.07% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Positional Finishes54 graded34.36 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks42 graded69.58 accuracy
Sleeper Calls28 graded55.61 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Pat Fitzmaurice keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

AJ Barner-100
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 161

10 of 27 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 5.

Fitzmaurice gave rest-of-season positional rankings for several Chiefs and other skill players, including Mahomes as his QB10, Kenneth Walker as RB4 behind Gibbs, Bijan and McCaffrey, Kelce at TE8 and Worthy down at WR50, and he picked Tampa Bay to beat Minnesota 21-20.Sep 26, 2026
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 — Vikings 20
  “So I'll take the wounded, desperate Buccaneers here, 21, 20, and I'll go with Bucky Irving as player of the game.”
  Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 34.45+2.39 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  23-16
  skill:
  2.39
  they picked:
  TB
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  35.71
  baseline:
  34.45
  difficulty:
  1.89
  weeks in the season:
  18

Fitzmorris made 10 first-round mock picks, starting with Arvel Reese to the Cardinals at No. 3 and including Caleb Downs to Dallas at 12 and Dillon Thieneman to Pittsburgh at 21.10 graded calls · Apr 19, 2026

Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“R VIL Reese is still on the board for the Cardinals. Do they take him or go somewhere else. They are going to take him”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Arvel Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Think this grade is wrong?
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 21
“Dylan Theeneman. They are going to take the safety from Oregon.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27
“Caleb Blomo, the tackle from Utah. I think the forty nine ers have to start hatching a plan to replace Trent Williams”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 9
“So Francis Mawanoa, the tackle from Miami is going to be the pick here”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 15
“Keldric Falk the edge from Auburn. Buccaneers do need an edge.”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 24
“They are going to take Cayden Proctor... So they are going to go with Procter.”
Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
59.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
59.46
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“They're gonna take Carnel Tate's wide receiver. Ohio State”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
87.5
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 12
“How about with Caleb Downs, the safety from Ohio State. What a great runout for Dallas staying put at number twelve”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 18
“But I'm going to give the Vikings Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle from Ohio State.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 87.5 against a shuffle’s 50+37.5 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
37.5
player:
Cade McDonald
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 30
“Chris Johnson, cornerback from San Diego State... So he fits into the first round with Miami.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.17 against a shuffle’s 50+39.17 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.17
player:
Chris Johnson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.17

Fitzmorris made picks 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28 and 31 in the 2026 mock, ranked the top three receiver prospects Tate-Lemon-Tyson, said Caleb Downs won't fall to Day 2, and predicted Trey Hendrickson won't be back in Cincinnati.10 graded calls · Mar 8, 2026

Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“He's going number four to the Tennessee Titans. Linebacker from Ohio State”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Think this grade is wrong?
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
“pick number, thirteen... they are going to take McKay, lemon the wide receiver FROM Usc”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 22
“twenty two we Have The Los angeles Chargers... they're Gonna Take, keldric falk the edge Rusher from auburn”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 25
“chicago bears twenty five... it's Gonna Be, caleb banks the defensive Tackle From Florida”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Caleb Banks
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
18
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28
“Twenty Eight Houston texans... it's Gonna Be, caleb lomu the offensive Tackle From utah”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 31
“Thirty One New England patriots... taking tj parker the Edge, from CLEMSON”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 16
“number Sixteen here The jets with their second Pick... they're taking a wide, Receiver Jordan tyson Of Arizona State”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 19
“carolina panthers on at nineteen... they take A key messador edge Rusher from Miami”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.12 against a shuffle’s 50+42.12 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.12
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.12
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7
“Yeah so It's love to The commanders, Here, Joe... at Seven”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 10
“number ten... The Cincinnati bengals are up... we are going to stop the slide For Rubin bain edge From miami”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 89.29 against a shuffle’s 50+39.29 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
39.29
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
89.29