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Pat Fitzmaurice is managing editor at FantasyPros and BettingPros, where he writes about fantasy football rankings, draft strategy, and player evaluations. A Milwaukee native and Green Bay Packers fan, he's previously written and edited for Pro Football Weekly, Tribune Media Services, 4for4, and The Football Girl. His work here spans the full fantasy spectrum — sleepers and busts, waiver wire advice, start/sit calls, and season-long projections — covering players across the league from Brock Bowers to Trevor Lawrence to Kyle Pitts.
More about Pat Fitzmaurice ↓Writes at FantasyPros
Across 129 graded calls in 28 articles, Pat Fitzmaurice scores 67.53% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 54.16, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #8 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Depth Chart Calls (88.06% accuracy across 20 graded calls); their weakest is Positional Finishes (41.32% across 16 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 496 calls · one square per 5 calls
63hits49% of graded
30Close23%
36misses28%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Pat Fitzmaurice is managing editor at FantasyPros and BettingPros, where he writes about fantasy football rankings, draft strategy, and player evaluations. A Milwaukee native and Green Bay Packers fan, he's previously written and edited for Pro Football Weekly, Tribune Media Services, 4for4, and The Football Girl. His work here spans the full fantasy spectrum — sleepers and busts, waiver wire advice, start/sit calls, and season-long projections — covering players across the league from Brock Bowers to Trevor Lawrence to Kyle Pitts.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
129 graded calls in 28 articles, newest first — page 1 of 5. Every take from Pat Fitzmaurice, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
367waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Pat Fitzmaurice would be #30; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #8.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dan Parr | 56.39 | 72.71% | 38 |
| 7 | Donnie Druin | 56.31 | 96.43% | 16 |
| 8 | Pat Fitzmaurice | 54.16 | 67.53% | 129 |
| 9 | Jeremy Pargo | 53.36 | 70.97% | 38 |
| 10 | Shanna McCarriston | 50.5 | 71.26% | 20 |
New England Patriots 24 — Packers 21
“Patriots are three point favorites. Total is 45 or no, sorry, 44 and a half... So I've got Patriots 24 to 21.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 24–21 calls the line’s margin (Patriots by 3) and more points (45).
Buffalo Bills to beat Raiders
“I think the Raiders are going to make the move after they lose their third straight this week against Buffalo.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (68%).
Kansas City Chiefs defense to finish 1st among fantasy defenses in Week 6
“Chiefs are far and away the best streaming defense (Week 6)”
Buffalo Bills 34 — Ram's 31
“Bill's 34, Ram's 31”
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–31 calls a Bills win (by 3; the line gave the Bills 38%) and more points (65).
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
“I think it's going to be a close game. Packers are Probably get a lead and blow it. Again, that seems to be their MO against the Bears.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Bengals 23
“I'll say Duvall pulls this one out in a nail biter. 24 to 23 comes down to the last possession.”
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 24–23 calls a Jaguars win (by 1; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and fewer points (47).
New Orleans Saints to beat Falcons
“I think the Saints are the class of the NFC South and plus this is going to be kind of an emotional night for them (answering who he likes to win Falcons at Saints)”
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5 · a toss-up, Falcons 48%, Saints 52%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 — Vikings 20
“So I'll take the wounded, desperate Buccaneers here, 21, 20, and I'll go with Bucky Irving as player of the game.”
Closing line (Sep 27): Vikings by 1.5, total 42.5 · this 21–20 calls a Buccaneers win (by 1; the line gave the Buccaneers 50%) and fewer points (41).
Jonah Coleman to be 1st on the depth chart
“it's very possible Coleman will be Denver's lead back when the Broncos host the Rams in Week 3”
Aaron Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
“Jordan Mason went on injured reserve with a thumb injury this week, leaving Aaron Jones as the Vikings’ lead back in a Week 2 game against the Bears in Chicago.”