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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,251
Graded
179

14% settled

Average accuracy
53.1

out of 100

Pundits
79

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
95 scored 80+84 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

179 / 1,251

graded

1,072 still pending

By season

  • 2025179 of 183 graded
  • 20260 of 1068 graded

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

501–525 of 1,251

  • PendingPat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls2026 season

    Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts)

    I'm willing to take Brock Bowers anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts... The Raiders have an anemic wide receiver corps, so Bowers should be awash in targets this season.

    Brock BowersLas Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls2026 season

    Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (his ADP as of this writing is RB34 (96th overall))

    You'd have hit big on a mid-round pick. This is a bet worth making.

    Blake CorumLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to outplay his draft cost (expert consensus ranking (ECR) as of this writing is RB13)

    Drafting Love is a great way to capitalize on an irrational fear... I still expect a big season from the explosive rookie.

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026the article →
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Quinshon Judkins to outplay his draft cost (the middle and late rounds)

    There are real running back values in the middle and late rounds, such as Quinshon Judkins, TreVeyon Henderson, D’Andre Swift and Kyren Williams.

    Quinshon Judkins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the middle and late rounds)

    There are real running back values in the middle and late rounds, such as Quinshon Judkins, TreVeyon Henderson, D’Andre Swift and Kyren Williams.

    D'Andre Swift

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Ryan Flournoy to outplay his draft cost (the later tiers)

    Stefon Diggs, Rashid Shaheed, Tre’ Harris, Ryan Flournoy and Cooper Kupp all sit in the later tiers but offer real value.

    Ryan Flournoy

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Cooper Kupp to outplay his draft cost (the later tiers)

    Stefon Diggs, Rashid Shaheed, Tre’ Harris, Ryan Flournoy and Cooper Kupp all sit in the later tiers but offer real value.

    Cooper Kupp

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Tre Harris to outplay his draft cost (the later tiers)

    Stefon Diggs, Rashid Shaheed, Tre’ Harris, Ryan Flournoy and Cooper Kupp all sit in the later tiers but offer real value.

    Tre Harris

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Rashid Shaheed to outplay his draft cost (the later tiers)

    Stefon Diggs, Rashid Shaheed, Tre’ Harris, Ryan Flournoy and Cooper Kupp all sit in the later tiers but offer real value.

    Rashid Shaheed

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (the later tiers)

    Stefon Diggs, Rashid Shaheed, Tre’ Harris, Ryan Flournoy and Cooper Kupp all sit in the later tiers but offer real value.

    Stefon Diggs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (the middle and late rounds)

    There are real running back values in the middle and late rounds, such as Quinshon Judkins, TreVeyon Henderson, D’Andre Swift and Kyren Williams.

    Kyren Williams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingLawrence IaconaSleeper Calls2026 season

    TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (the middle and late rounds)

    There are real running back values in the middle and late rounds, such as Quinshon Judkins, TreVeyon Henderson, D’Andre Swift and Kyren Williams.

    TreVeyon Henderson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls2026 season

    Kyler Murray to outplay his draft cost (a current ADP of QB13 or later)

    I've been pounding the table for Kyler Murray all offseason, and I'm not letting up. He's officially been named the starting quarterback for the Vikings, and I think he's in for a massive year.

    Kyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls2026 season

    Patrick Mahomes to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB14)

    Patrick Mahomes has an ADP of QB14, and if anyone can bounce back, it's Mahomes.

    Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls2026 season

    Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (a current ADP of QB13 or later)

    Malik Willis has the skill set to be a top-five quarterback in fantasy football.

    Malik WillisMiami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 56)

    4 MarShawn Lloyd GB 61 56

    MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Alvin Kamara to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 43)

    3 Alvin Kamara NO 46 43

    Alvin KamaraNew Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 60)

    10 Braelon Allen NYJ 55 60

    Braelon AllenNew York Jets

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Zach Charbonnet to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 42)

    5 Zach Charbonnet SEA 47 42

    Zach CharbonnetSeattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Isiah Pacheco to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 48)

    6 Isiah Pacheco DET 50 48

    Isiah PachecoDetroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Tank Bigsby to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 52)

    7 Tank Bigsby PHI 53 52

    Tank BigsbyPhiladelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Jonah Coleman to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 50)

    1 Jonah Coleman DEN 52 50

    Jonah ColemanDenver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Keaton Mitchell to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 51)

    2 Keaton Mitchell LAC 48 51

    Keaton MitchellLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Dylan Sampson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 54)

    9 Dylan Sampson CLE 51 54

    Dylan SampsonCleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Jaydon Blue to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 57)

    8 Jaydon Blue DAL 68 57

    Jaydon BlueDallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.