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Jake Ciely is a host on the FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast, where he covers rankings, draft strategy, sleepers and busts across all positions. His work on the show dates back to at least 2017, and recent episodes find him breaking down rookie impact players, free agency predictions and projection-based values heading into each fantasy season.
More about Jake Ciely ↓Writes at FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
Across 41 graded calls in 10 articles, Jake Ciely scores 73.81% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 34.92, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #20 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 141 calls · one square per call
25hits61% of graded
6Close15%
10misses24%
100
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Teams and players where Jake Ciely keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · when they strayed: 88.3 accuracy (2 settled)
Jake Ciely is a host on the FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast, where he covers rankings, draft strategy, sleepers and busts across all positions. His work on the show dates back to at least 2017, and recent episodes find him breaking down rookie impact players, free agency predictions and projection-based values heading into each fantasy season.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
41 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Jake Ciely, including the ones still waiting →
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Jake Ciely would be #11; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #20.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Carter Bahns | 37.74 | 64.23% | 36 |
| 19 | Peter Schrager | 35.4 | 70.35% | 48 |
| 20 | Jake Ciely | 34.92 | 73.81% | 41 |
| 21 | Ross Jackson | 34.21 | 66.96% | 248 |
| 22 | Dan Graziano | 33.3 | 50% | 10 |
Kansas City Chiefs defense to finish 1st among fantasy defenses in Week 6
“Chiefs might be my number one defense this week (Week 6, vs. the Chargers)”
Isaiah Likely to be 1st on the depth chart
“Because Isaiah Likely is going to a team where he's going to be the lead option... he's going to go to a team because he's a free agent. Somebody's going to pay through the nose for him”
“Dalton Kinkaid is number nine on this list, but jake them outside of the top twelve at sixteen... Jake, you've got him at tight end thirteen [Likely]”
“I have Alan Lamar May Daniels as my top four... So he's at six [Burrow]... you've got him at ten [Herbert]... c J. Stroud is at ECR of twenty but you've got him at twenty five... JKM at twenty six [Darnold]... You have n't at seventeen [Daniel Jones]”
Kyren Williams to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“I am one hundred percent in agreement that Kyle Williams still deserves to be a top ten running back until further notice.”
Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart
“He will be the lead Joe... and will be the lead next year.”
“So I have Bejeon and Gibbs, Tier, McCaffrey, Taylor, a Chan, Cook, Hampton, Berkley, Henry... ECR is sixteen, but you have him at ten [Kyren]... you have him a little lower. You have an eleven [Jeanty]... you've got at RB twelve [Chase Brown]... Jake, you've got him a twenty six [Skattebo]... you've got him at thirty three [Dowdle]... you have Tony Pollard here at thirty eight... Chewba Hubbard ECR thirty two. You've got him all the way forty two... he's ECR sixty one, but you've got him at fifty five [Sean Tucker]”
Mike Evans to move to San Francisco 49ers
“I think the forty nine Ers are getting overlooked as an intriguing landing spot for Mike Evans”
“I actually go Bjon Robinson, and then my next three are all wide receivers with Puka Nakua, Jackson Smith and Jigba and Jamar Chase... so all four of this are running backs at Jamiir Gibbs... push him down to six... Jonathan Taylor is so quickly everybody forgot... a chan... So James Cook is at number nine for me... And then I come back to wide receiver Rashi Rice and mon Ron Saint. Brown is my double tap here... and then I finished it out with a Marion Hampton.”
Troy Franklin to be 2nd on the depth chart
“He is clearly, by far way ahead of Mims. He is the one and the two with Sutton.”
Blake Corum to be 2nd on the depth chart
“if something happens to Karen Williams, it is one hundred percent clear that Korum's the backup plan, not Darko's hunter”
Cedric Tillman to be 1st on the depth chart
“he's running as the one and the week one. Usage was very good too.”
Romeo Doubs to be 2nd on the depth chart
“the one and two one answer was clear Dobbs, and now we have the elimination of read on top of it, so I think it just makes it even clear”