Sleeper Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 1,251
- Graded
- 179
- Average accuracy
- 53.1
- Pundits
- 79
14% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
- 2025179 of 183 graded
- 20260 of 1068 graded
Who is good at sleeper calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Tom Strachan75 accuracy · 16 graded+100.0
- Seth Woolcock67 accuracy · 3 graded+66.7
- Derek Brown60 accuracy · 34 graded+40.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice56 accuracy · 28 graded+22.4
- Ryan Wormeli55 accuracy · 11 graded+20.0
- Sean Kerner50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Mason Dodd47 accuracy · 15 graded-13.3
- Andrew Erickson46 accuracy · 25 graded-17.1
- Chris Raybon43 accuracy · 7 graded-28.6
- Joe Pisapia40 accuracy · 6 graded-40.0
- Chris Welsh33 accuracy · 11 graded-66.7
- Joe Dolan33 accuracy · 6 graded-66.7
- Scott Bogman33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Terrell Furman Jr33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Jake Ciely17 accuracy · 8 graded-133.3
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)44.1 · 179 graded
Every sleeper calls take
201–225 of 1,251
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (Late-round only)
Tight Ends Sleepers*: Juwan Johnson (TE – NO)
Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values: Rashee Rice (WR – KC)
Charlie Kolar to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values: Charlie Kolar (TE – LAC)
Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost (Round 11+ / Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values: Wan’Dale Robinson (WR – NYG)
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (Late-round only)
Tight Ends Sleepers*: Dalton Kincaid (TE – BUF)
Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (Round 11+ / Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Round 11+ / Outside Top 120): Aaron Jones Sr. (RB – MIN)
A.J. Brown to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values: A.J. Brown (WR – NE)
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60): Chase Brown (RB – CIN)
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Late-round only)
Tight Ends Sleepers*: Isaiah Likely (TE – NYG)
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values: Zay Flowers (WR – BAL)
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values: Javonte Williams (RB – DAL)
Jadarian Price to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values: Jadarian Price (RB – SEA)
Jaylin Noel to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values: Jaylin Noel (WR – HOU)
George Kittle to outplay his draft cost (Late-round only)
Tight Ends Sleepers*: George Kittle (TE – SF) ... *Late-round only
Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (Late-round only)
Tight Ends Sleepers*: Greg Dulcich (TE – MIA)
Kimani Vidal to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values: Kimani Vidal (RB – LAC)
Travis Etienne to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 / Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values: Travis Etienne Jr.(RB – NO)
- PendingRyan KirkseySleeper Calls2026 season
Malik Nabers to outplay his draft cost (the fourth round)
If he is available in the fourth round of drafts, I’m jumping on him at that cost.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 29, 2026 Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (RB34 (96th overall))
You’d have hit big on a mid-round pick. This is a bet worth making.
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts)
I think it’s worth paying up at tight end this year, and I’m willing to take Brock Bowers anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts.
- PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls2026 season
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (the later rounds)
This alone gives Brock Purdy a safe floor as a top-10 signal-caller in the later rounds.
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 29, 2026 - PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls2026 season
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (the last round of your draft)
At his current average draft position (ADP), Malik Willis is practically free. Of all the quarterbacks I have mentioned, he carries the most upside at cost.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 29, 2026 - PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls2026 season
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (late-round)
Lawrence has an elite offensive head coach, a solid offensive line, a high-quality pass-catching room and one of the easier schedules for quarterbacks. He is one of the safer late-round quarterbacks and carries plenty of upside.
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 29, 2026 - PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls2026 season
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (He's currently going as the RB23 in PPR leagues.)
Now, with 200-plus carries in his future, Montgomery should maintain his position as a higher-end RB2. He's currently going as the RB23 in PPR leagues.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 29, 2026 - PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls2026 season
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (an RB15 price tag)
Still, for an RB15 price tag, you could potentially be getting an RB1 caliber player, so keep an eye out for him in your drafts.
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 29, 2026
By sport
NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)
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