How Accurate Are Election Pundits? 2026 by the Numbers
Every checkable call named pundits made about the 2026 US elections — race winners, margins, chamber control, seat counts — graded against certified results, with a naive guess scored on the same calls beside them. Figures as of 2026-10-06; they move as results are certified and graded.
- Graded calls
- 0
- Pundits graded
- 0
- Pundits' accuracy
- —
- Naive guess
- —
of 264 on the record
the seat's party holds it
How accurate were pundits' 2026 election predictions?
The 2026 results are not certified yet, so there is no accuracy to report. 264 checkable calls from 51 pundits are on the record so far, 0 graded; this page fills in as results are certified.
Who is the most accurate election pundit?
| Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Clay Travis | +74.2 | 98.3% | 27 |
| 2. Erick-Woods Erickson | +70.3 | 95.9% | 29 |
Cite these numbers
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with credit and a link to this page. Please give the date — these figures move as results are certified and graded.
MissedTakes, "How Accurate Are Election Pundits? 2026 by the Numbers", missedtakes.co/elections/accuracy?cycle=2026, accessed 2026-10-06.
The tables as CSV or markdown. How each call is graded, and the naive guess it is measured against, is in the methodology; every race links to the calls behind its row.