How Accurate Are Election Pundits? 2022 by the Numbers
Every checkable call named pundits made about the 2022 US elections — race winners, margins, chamber control, seat counts — graded against certified results, with a naive guess scored on the same calls beside them. Figures as of 2026-10-06; they move as results are certified and graded.
- Graded calls
- 0
- Pundits graded
- 0
- Pundits' accuracy
- —
- Naive guess
- —
of 0 on the record
the seat's party holds it
How accurate were pundits' 2022 election predictions?
The 2022 results are not certified yet, so there is no accuracy to report. 0 checkable calls from 0 pundits are on the record so far, 0 graded; this page fills in as results are certified.
Who is the most accurate election pundit?
| Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Clay Travis | +74.2 | 98.3% | 27 |
| 2. Erick-Woods Erickson | +70.3 | 95.9% | 29 |
Cite these numbers
Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with credit and a link to this page. Please give the date — these figures move as results are certified and graded.
MissedTakes, "How Accurate Are Election Pundits? 2022 by the Numbers", missedtakes.co/elections/accuracy?cycle=2022, accessed 2026-10-06.
The tables as CSV or markdown. How each call is graded, and the naive guess it is measured against, is in the methodology; every race links to the calls behind its row.